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Política·Joe Biden

Biden drops out by July 4?

Market icon
Política·Joe Biden

Biden drops out by July 4?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$4,490,152 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$4,490,152 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes".

If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,490,152
Fecha de finalización
Jul 4, 2024
Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2024, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes". If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden officially announces his withdrawal or is confirmed to have withdrawn from the 2024 US presidential race between the start of the first presidential debate (currently scheduled for June 27, 2024) and July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET.

In the event of any extenuating circumstances that prevent Joe Biden from continuing the race between the start of the first debate and the resolution date, this market will also resolve to "Yes".

If Joe Biden does not drop out or is not forced to withdraw from the 2024 Presidential Election by July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No."

If the first presidential debate is postponed to a date after July 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or is cancelled altogether, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Joe Biden and/or his official/legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$4,490,152
Fecha de finalización
Jul 7, 2024
Mercado abierto
Jun 7, 2024, 3:01 PM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Biden drops out by July 4? " es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Biden drops out by July 4? " ha generado $4.5 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jun 7, 2024. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Biden drops out by July 4? ", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Biden drops out by July 4? " es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Biden drops out by July 4? " definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.