Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the nation's most competitive House races ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, who won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces a Democratic primary on July 21 featuring JoAnna Mendoza and other contenders. Early 2026 polling shows the likely Democratic nominee running even or slightly ahead in head-to-head matchups against Ciscomani. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up given the district's even partisan balance and historical midterm patterns that often favor the opposition party. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoAZ-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
Partido Demócrata
73%
Partido Republicano
28%
Partido Demócrata
73%
Partido Republicano
28%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 6th congressional district remains one of the nation's most competitive House races ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Republican Juan Ciscomani, who won narrow victories in 2022 and 2024, faces a Democratic primary on July 21 featuring JoAnna Mendoza and other contenders. Early 2026 polling shows the likely Democratic nominee running even or slightly ahead in head-to-head matchups against Ciscomani. Forecasters rate the seat a toss-up given the district's even partisan balance and historical midterm patterns that often favor the opposition party. These factors underpin the current trader consensus reflected in market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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