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Another record low Biden approval rating in June?

Market icon

Another record low Biden approval rating in June?

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$914 Vol.

>99% probabilidad
Polymarket

$914 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$914
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2024
Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2024, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$914
Fecha de finalización
30 jun 2024
Mercado abierto
Jun 10, 2024, 4:41 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Joe Biden's approval rating on FiveThirtyEight is recorded as being lower than 37.4% (i.e. 37.3% or lower) between June 10 and June 30, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only finalized data points may be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be FiveThirtyEight's approval rating poll aggregator, https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which FiveThirtyEight calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. Please note the resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Resultado propuesto: No

Sin disputa

Resultado final: No

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Another record low Biden approval rating in June?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones de "Sí" o "No" según si creen que este evento ocurrirá. La probabilidad actual según la comunidad es 0% para "Yes". Por ejemplo, si "Sí" se cotiza a 0¢, el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos e información. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Another record low Biden approval rating in June?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jun 10, 2024. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Another record low Biden approval rating in June?", simplemente elige si crees que la respuesta es "Sí" o "No". Cada lado tiene un precio actual que refleja la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si compras acciones de "Sí" y el resultado se resuelve como "Sí", cada acción paga $1. Si se resuelve como "No", tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución para asegurar ganancias o limitar pérdidas.

La probabilidad actual para "Another record low Biden approval rating in June?" es 0% para "Yes". Esto significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente cree que hay una probabilidad de 0% de que este evento ocurra. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real basándose en operaciones reales, proporcionando una señal continuamente actualizada de lo que el mercado espera.

Las reglas de resolución para "Another record low Biden approval rating in June?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.