Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner hinges on razor-thin parity among elite programs reloading via top-tier 2025 recruiting classes and transfer portal hauls, compressing odds for Arizona (19.1%), Michigan (18.5%), and Duke (17.5%). Arizona leads slightly on returning core plus five-star commitments like Carter Bryant, while Michigan surges behind new coach Dusty May's proven mid-major blueprint and FAU transfers, and Duke boasts No. 1 prospect Cooper Flagg anchoring the nation's best class. Florida (10.5%) gains from SEC momentum and portal savvy, but roster flux, coaching transitions, and unproven freshman impacts keep the race fluid, reflecting crowds' wariness of early-season volatility and inevitable bracket chaos.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArizona 19.1%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 10.8%
$22,088,815 Vol.
$22,088,815 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
11%
Houston
6%
Iowa State
5%
Purdue
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
Kansas
1%
Virginia
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
UCLA
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
High Point
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Clemson
<1%
UCF
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
Arizona 19.1%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 10.8%
$22,088,815 Vol.
$22,088,815 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
11%
Houston
6%
Iowa State
5%
Purdue
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
Kansas
1%
Virginia
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
UCLA
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
High Point
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Clemson
<1%
UCF
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the 2026 NCAA Tournament winner hinges on razor-thin parity among elite programs reloading via top-tier 2025 recruiting classes and transfer portal hauls, compressing odds for Arizona (19.1%), Michigan (18.5%), and Duke (17.5%). Arizona leads slightly on returning core plus five-star commitments like Carter Bryant, while Michigan surges behind new coach Dusty May's proven mid-major blueprint and FAU transfers, and Duke boasts No. 1 prospect Cooper Flagg anchoring the nation's best class. Florida (10.5%) gains from SEC momentum and portal savvy, but roster flux, coaching transitions, and unproven freshman impacts keep the race fluid, reflecting crowds' wariness of early-season volatility and inevitable bracket chaos.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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