Duke's elite No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class, anchored by five-star phenom Cooper Flagg, anchors trader consensus at 19.5% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA men's basketball tournament title, but Michigan's rapid ascent to 18.5% reflects new coach Dusty May's top-five haul and transfer portal savvy from his FAU success. Arizona's steady 17.5% share stems from Tommy Lloyd's reload strategy blending high-end freshmen and vets, fostering parity among blue-blood reloaders. Florida's climb to 9.6% highlights SEC momentum under Todd Golden, while Houston and Iowa State linger amid transfer volatility. Crowds price in coaching stability and early-season tests, underscoring March Madness unpredictability with no runaway favorite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoDuke 20%
Michigan 19%
Arizona 17.4%
Florida 9.7%
$12,243,133 Vol.
$12,243,133 Vol.
Duke
20%
Michigan
19%
Arizona
17%
Florida
10%
Houston
8%
Iowa State
5%
Purdue
4%
Illinois
3%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
2%
Michigan State
2%
Virginia
1%
Gonzaga
1%
St John's
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Kansas
1%
Wisconsin
1%
UCLA
1%
Louisville
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Nebraska
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
BYU
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Carolina del Norte
<1%
St. Mary's
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Ohio State
<1%
Villanova
<1%
Missouri
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
Clemson
<1%
TCU
<1%
Santa Clara
<1%
UCF
<1%
South Florida
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
SMU
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
North Dakota State
<1%
LIU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Kennesaw State
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Troy
<1%
Idaho
<1%
Hofstra
<1%
Akron
<1%
McNeese
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Siena
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Hawaii
<1%
Queens
<1%
Lehigh
<1%
Penn
<1%
Tennessee State
<1%
Howard
<1%
Wright State
<1%
Duke 20%
Michigan 19%
Arizona 17.4%
Florida 9.7%
$12,243,133 Vol.
$12,243,133 Vol.
Duke
20%
Michigan
19%
Arizona
17%
Florida
10%
Houston
8%
Iowa State
5%
Purdue
4%
Illinois
3%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
2%
Michigan State
2%
Virginia
1%
Gonzaga
1%
St John's
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Kansas
1%
Wisconsin
1%
UCLA
1%
Louisville
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Nebraska
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
BYU
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Carolina del Norte
<1%
St. Mary's
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Ohio State
<1%
Villanova
<1%
Missouri
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Georgia
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
Clemson
<1%
TCU
<1%
Santa Clara
<1%
UCF
<1%
South Florida
<1%
Miami (OH)
<1%
SMU
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
North Dakota State
<1%
LIU
<1%
High Point
<1%
Kennesaw State
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Troy
<1%
Idaho
<1%
Hofstra
<1%
Akron
<1%
McNeese
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Siena
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Hawaii
<1%
Queens
<1%
Lehigh
<1%
Penn
<1%
Tennessee State
<1%
Howard
<1%
Wright State
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Duke's elite No. 1-ranked 2025 recruiting class, anchored by five-star phenom Cooper Flagg, anchors trader consensus at 19.5% implied probability for the 2026 NCAA men's basketball tournament title, but Michigan's rapid ascent to 18.5% reflects new coach Dusty May's top-five haul and transfer portal savvy from his FAU success. Arizona's steady 17.5% share stems from Tommy Lloyd's reload strategy blending high-end freshmen and vets, fostering parity among blue-blood reloaders. Florida's climb to 9.6% highlights SEC momentum under Todd Golden, while Houston and Iowa State linger amid transfer volatility. Crowds price in coaching stability and early-season tests, underscoring March Madness unpredictability with no runaway favorite.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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