Arizona's top-ranked 2025 recruiting class, headlined by five-star guards and forwards, anchors its slight edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament, but Michigan's haul under new coach Dusty May and Duke's perennial pipeline of elite prospects like top-10 signees keep implied probabilities bunched within 1.6 points among the leaders. Florida and Houston benefit from transfer portal reinforcements and returning starters from recent Elite Eight pushes, while broader parity stems from pending NBA draft decisions, unresolved transfer activity, and no preseason dominant force—evident in historical volatility where 20% favorites win only 25% of tournaments. Momentum from 2025 regular-season form will sharpen these dynamics as schedules unfold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoArizona 19.3%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 10.7%
$22,028,666 Vol.
$22,028,666 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
11%
Houston
7%
Iowa State
5%
Purdue
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
Kansas
1%
UCLA
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Virginia
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
High Point
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Clemson
<1%
UCF
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
Arizona 19.3%
Michigan 19%
Duke 18%
Florida 10.7%
$22,028,666 Vol.
$22,028,666 Vol.
Arizona
19%
Michigan
19%
Duke
18%
Florida
11%
Houston
7%
Iowa State
5%
Purdue
4%
Illinois
4%
Connecticut
3%
Arkansas
3%
Michigan State
2%
St John's
2%
Gonzaga
2%
Kansas
1%
UCLA
1%
Vanderbilt
1%
Tennessee
1%
Alabama
1%
Louisville
<1%
Texas Tech
<1%
Nebraska
<1%
Virginia
<1%
Texas A&M
<1%
Miami (FL)
<1%
Kentucky
<1%
High Point
<1%
Saint Louis
<1%
TCU
<1%
Iowa
<1%
Clemson
<1%
UCF
<1%
Northern Iowa
<1%
Prairie View A&M
<1%
Missouri
<1%
VCU
<1%
Texas
<1%
Cal Baptist
<1%
Furman
<1%
Utah State
<1%
Queens
<1%
If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Mercado abierto: Oct 31, 2025, 7:31 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's top-ranked 2025 recruiting class, headlined by five-star guards and forwards, anchors its slight edge in trader consensus for the 2026 NCAA Tournament, but Michigan's haul under new coach Dusty May and Duke's perennial pipeline of elite prospects like top-10 signees keep implied probabilities bunched within 1.6 points among the leaders. Florida and Houston benefit from transfer portal reinforcements and returning starters from recent Elite Eight pushes, while broader parity stems from pending NBA draft decisions, unresolved transfer activity, and no preseason dominant force—evident in historical volatility where 20% favorites win only 25% of tournaments. Momentum from 2025 regular-season form will sharpen these dynamics as schedules unfold.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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