Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability following the March 31 qualifiers playoffs that finalized the 48-team field without eliminating top contenders, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title, 31-match unbeaten streak across Nations League and qualifiers, and a favorable Group H draw against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay. France trails closely at 13.7% on Mbappé's peak form and consistent depth, while England's 11.4% reflects an unbeaten qualifying campaign despite inconsistent club transitions. The race stays tight amid the expanded format—top two plus eight best third-placed teams advance from group stage—multiple elite squads like defending champions Argentina and Brazil (despite Rodrygo's long-term injury), and two months remaining for Nations League finals, injuries, or momentum shifts to reshape knockout paths.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEspaña 15.7%
Francia 13.7%
Inglaterra 11.4%
Argentina 9.2%
$498,797,458 Vol.
$498,797,458 Vol.
España
16%
Francia
14%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Turquía
1%
Senegal
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Cezchia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
España 15.7%
Francia 13.7%
Inglaterra 11.4%
Argentina 9.2%
$498,797,458 Vol.
$498,797,458 Vol.
España
16%
Francia
14%
Inglaterra
11%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Bélgica
2%
Marruecos
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
1%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Turquía
1%
Senegal
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Cezchia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain leads trader consensus at 15.8% implied probability following the March 31 qualifiers playoffs that finalized the 48-team field without eliminating top contenders, bolstered by their Euro 2024 title, 31-match unbeaten streak across Nations League and qualifiers, and a favorable Group H draw against Cape Verde, Saudi Arabia, and Uruguay. France trails closely at 13.7% on Mbappé's peak form and consistent depth, while England's 11.4% reflects an unbeaten qualifying campaign despite inconsistent club transitions. The race stays tight amid the expanded format—top two plus eight best third-placed teams advance from group stage—multiple elite squads like defending champions Argentina and Brazil (despite Rodrygo's long-term injury), and two months remaining for Nations League finals, injuries, or momentum shifts to reshape knockout paths.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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