Spain holds a slim edge at 15.8% implied probability as the consensus favorite following the completion of 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers on March 31, with the world No. 1-ranked team's dominant run through UEFA play—capped by their Euro 2024 triumph and unbeaten streak—bolstering trader confidence in their youthful core led by Yamal and Pedri. France (13.3%) overtook England (11.8%) after March friendlies victories over Brazil and Colombia, while England's shock loss to Japan prompted a slight drift. Argentina (9.2%) and Brazil (8.6%) remain competitive via CONMEBOL supremacy, but the tight clustering underscores balanced golden generations, stylistic matchups, and the expanded 48-team format's volatility across group stage and knockout rounds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEspaña 15.9%
Francia 13.3%
Inglaterra 11.8%
Argentina 9.2%
$478,431,258 Vol.
$478,431,258 Vol.
España
16%
Francia
13%
Inglaterra
12%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Bélgica
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Turquía
1%
Senegal
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Cezchia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
España 15.9%
Francia 13.3%
Inglaterra 11.8%
Argentina 9.2%
$478,431,258 Vol.
$478,431,258 Vol.
España
16%
Francia
13%
Inglaterra
12%
Argentina
9%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Bélgica
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
2%
Colombia
2%
USA
2%
Marruecos
2%
Uruguay
1%
México
1%
Croacia
1%
Suiza
1%
Ecuador
1%
Turquía
1%
Senegal
1%
Suecia
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Bosnia-Herzegovina
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Cezchia
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
Panamá
<1%
Irak
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
RD del Congo
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Spain holds a slim edge at 15.8% implied probability as the consensus favorite following the completion of 2026 FIFA World Cup qualifiers on March 31, with the world No. 1-ranked team's dominant run through UEFA play—capped by their Euro 2024 triumph and unbeaten streak—bolstering trader confidence in their youthful core led by Yamal and Pedri. France (13.3%) overtook England (11.8%) after March friendlies victories over Brazil and Colombia, while England's shock loss to Japan prompted a slight drift. Argentina (9.2%) and Brazil (8.6%) remain competitive via CONMEBOL supremacy, but the tight clustering underscores balanced golden generations, stylistic matchups, and the expanded 48-team format's volatility across group stage and knockout rounds.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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