Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 15.8% implied probability, buoyed by their top FIFA ranking following dominant UEFA qualifying and Lamine Yamal's March squad return amid friendlies against Serbia and Egypt. England (12.8%), France (10.9%), Argentina (9.9%), and Brazil (8.6%) remain tightly bunched, reflecting near-parity in the latest rankings—Spain, Argentina, France, England occupying the top four—with each boasting elite depth, recent Nations League momentum, and historical knockout pedigree. March playoff resolutions secured the expanded 48-team field without upending favorites, heightening competitive dynamics as generational talents, tactical cohesion, and North American venue familiarity balance the knockout path ahead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEspaña 15.8%
Inglaterra 12.8%
Francia 10.9%
Argentina 9.9%
$405,354,566 Vol.
$405,354,566 Vol.
España
16%
Inglaterra
13%
Francia
11%
Argentina
10%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Italia
3%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Marruecos
2%
USA
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
México
1%
Ecuador
1%
Suiza
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
España 15.8%
Inglaterra 12.8%
Francia 10.9%
Argentina 9.9%
$405,354,566 Vol.
$405,354,566 Vol.
España
16%
Inglaterra
13%
Francia
11%
Argentina
10%
Brasil
9%
Portugal
7%
Alemania
5%
Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%
Noruega
3%
Italia
3%
Bélgica
2%
Colombia
2%
Marruecos
2%
USA
2%
Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
1%
Uruguay
1%
Croacia
1%
México
1%
Ecuador
1%
Suiza
1%
Senegal
1%
Canadá
1%
Austria
1%
Corea del Sur
<1%
Paraguay
<1%
Costa de Marfil
<1%
Argelia
<1%
Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%
Túnez
<1%
Australia
<1%
Saudi Arabia
<1%
Egipto
<1%
Haití
<1%
Jordania
<1%
Ghana
<1%
Sudáfrica
<1%
Cabo Verde
<1%
Qatar
<1%
Nueva Zelanda
<1%
Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%
Irán
<1%
Uzbekistán
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain leads trader consensus for the 2026 FIFA World Cup winner at 15.8% implied probability, buoyed by their top FIFA ranking following dominant UEFA qualifying and Lamine Yamal's March squad return amid friendlies against Serbia and Egypt. England (12.8%), France (10.9%), Argentina (9.9%), and Brazil (8.6%) remain tightly bunched, reflecting near-parity in the latest rankings—Spain, Argentina, France, England occupying the top four—with each boasting elite depth, recent Nations League momentum, and historical knockout pedigree. March playoff resolutions secured the expanded 48-team field without upending favorites, heightening competitive dynamics as generational talents, tactical cohesion, and North American venue familiarity balance the knockout path ahead.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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