Spain's slight edge in trader consensus stems from their flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, capped by dominant wins like England's 5-0 rout of Latvia mirroring La Roja's earlier momentum from Euro 2024 stars like Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, alongside a deep midfield. England and France trail closely after England's thrashing and France's 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil on March 26, signaling sharp attacking form from Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappé. Argentina benefits from Lionel Messi's enduring influence and CONMEBOL qualification ease, while Brazil's vast talent pool keeps them viable despite recent stumbles. The race stays tight with the December draw separating top seeds until semifinals, an expanded 48-team format boosting upsets, and four months until kickoff allowing injuries or Nations League shifts to reshape probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · ActualizadoEspaña 15.8%
Inglaterra 12.8%
Francia 10.9%
Argentina 10.0%
$403,490,378 Vol.
$403,490,378 Vol.

España
16%

Inglaterra
13%

Francia
11%

Argentina
10%

Brasil
9%

Portugal
7%

Alemania
5%

Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%

Noruega
3%

Italia
3%

Bélgica
2%

Colombia
2%

USA
2%

Marruecos
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
1%

Uruguay
1%

Croacia
1%

México
1%

Ecuador
1%

Suiza
1%

Senegal
1%

Canadá
1%

Austria
1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Costa de Marfil
<1%

Argelia
<1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%

Túnez
<1%

Australia
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%

Egipto
<1%

Haití
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Sudáfrica
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Nueva Zelanda
<1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%

Irán
<1%

Uzbekistán
<1%
España 15.8%
Inglaterra 12.8%
Francia 10.9%
Argentina 10.0%
$403,490,378 Vol.
$403,490,378 Vol.

España
16%

Inglaterra
13%

Francia
11%

Argentina
10%

Brasil
9%

Portugal
7%

Alemania
5%

Título del grupo: Países Bajos
3%

Noruega
3%

Italia
3%

Bélgica
2%

Colombia
2%

USA
2%

Marruecos
2%

Título del ítem del grupo: Japón
1%

Uruguay
1%

Croacia
1%

México
1%

Ecuador
1%

Suiza
1%

Senegal
1%

Canadá
1%

Austria
1%

Corea del Sur
<1%

Paraguay
<1%

Costa de Marfil
<1%

Argelia
<1%

Título del ítem del grupo: Escocia
<1%

Túnez
<1%

Australia
<1%

Saudi Arabia
<1%

Egipto
<1%

Haití
<1%

Jordania
<1%

Ghana
<1%

Sudáfrica
<1%

Cabo Verde
<1%

Qatar
<1%

Nueva Zelanda
<1%

Título del ítem de grupo: Curaçao
<1%

Irán
<1%

Uzbekistán
<1%
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jul 2, 2025, 6:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the FIFA World Cup based on the rules of FIFA (e.g., they are eliminated in the knockout stage), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is permanently canceled or has not been completed by October 13, 2026, 11:59 PM this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source will be official information from FIFA, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.
Spain's slight edge in trader consensus stems from their flawless UEFA qualifying campaign, capped by dominant wins like England's 5-0 rout of Latvia mirroring La Roja's earlier momentum from Euro 2024 stars like Lamine Yamal and Nico Williams, alongside a deep midfield. England and France trail closely after England's thrashing and France's 2-1 friendly victory over Brazil on March 26, signaling sharp attacking form from Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappé. Argentina benefits from Lionel Messi's enduring influence and CONMEBOL qualification ease, while Brazil's vast talent pool keeps them viable despite recent stumbles. The race stays tight with the December draw separating top seeds until semifinals, an expanded 48-team format boosting upsets, and four months until kickoff allowing injuries or Nations League shifts to reshape probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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