President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to step down before the end of 2026, instead maintaining an active schedule of executive actions and policy priorities extending through his full term to January 2029. With only one U.S. president having resigned in history and no comparable institutional, legal, health, or congressional pressures emerging in the current term, the 94.5% trader consensus on “No” aligns with baseline expectations. Speculation from opponents about post-midterm frustration has not produced verifiable shifts in Trump’s posture or party dynamics. Late developments such as acute health events or major scandals could theoretically alter probabilities, but none are indicated within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertJa
$18,330 Vol.
$18,330 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
Ja
$18,330 Vol.
$18,330 Vol.
31. Dez. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to step down before the end of 2026, instead maintaining an active schedule of executive actions and policy priorities extending through his full term to January 2029. With only one U.S. president having resigned in history and no comparable institutional, legal, health, or congressional pressures emerging in the current term, the 94.5% trader consensus on “No” aligns with baseline expectations. Speculation from opponents about post-midterm frustration has not produced verifiable shifts in Trump’s posture or party dynamics. Late developments such as acute health events or major scandals could theoretically alter probabilities, but none are indicated within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Volumen
$18,330Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to step down before the end of 2026, instead maintaining an active schedule of executive actions and policy priorities extending through his full term to January 2029. With only one U.S. president having resigned in history and no comparable institutional, legal, health, or congressional pressures emerging in the current term, the 94.5% trader consensus on “No” aligns with baseline expectations. Speculation from opponents about post-midterm frustration has not produced verifiable shifts in Trump’s posture or party dynamics. Late developments such as acute health events or major scandals could theoretically alter probabilities, but none are indicated within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$18,330Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026Markt eröffnet
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Donald Trump has shown no public or private signals of intending to step down before the end of 2026, instead maintaining an active schedule of executive actions and policy priorities extending through his full term to January 2029. With only one U.S. president having resigned in history and no comparable institutional, legal, health, or congressional pressures emerging in the current term, the 94.5% trader consensus on “No” aligns with baseline expectations. Speculation from opponents about post-midterm frustration has not produced verifiable shifts in Trump’s posture or party dynamics. Late developments such as acute health events or major scandals could theoretically alter probabilities, but none are indicated within the resolution window.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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