President Donald Trump has shown no public signs of considering resignation during his second term, which began with his January 2025 inauguration and extends through January 2029 under the 22nd Amendment. Traders assign a 94.5 percent probability to him remaining in office through 2026, reflecting the lack of credible pressure from congressional Republicans, who hold majorities, or from within his administration. Routine cabinet turnover and isolated Democratic calls for accountability have not translated into broader momentum for his departure. Historical patterns show sitting presidents rarely resign absent acute health crises or insurmountable scandals, factors absent here. Late developments such as significant health disclosures or bipartisan legislative shifts could still alter this consensus, though none have emerged in recent months.