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Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?

>99% chance

$232,240 Umsatz

Regeln

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2024 shows an increase of 1.37°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.37°C or greater for March 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for March 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for March 2024 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."
Volumen
$232,240
Enddatum
May 1, 2024
Erstellt am
Feb 27, 2024, 1:58 PM ET

Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: Yes

Kein Widerspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht vor externen Links.

Market icon

Will 2024 have the hottest March on record?

>99% chance

$232,240 Umsatz

Über

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for March 2024 shows an increase of 1.37°C or greater when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An anomaly of 1.37°C or greater for March 2024 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for March 2024 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Mar" in the row "2024" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for March 2024 is provided by NASA by May 1, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "No."
Volumen
$232,240
Enddatum
May 1, 2024
Erstellt am
Feb 27, 2024, 1:58 PM ET

Ergebnis vorgeschlagen: Yes

Kein Widerspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Yes

Vorsicht vor externen Links.