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Februar 2026 Temperaturerhöhung (ºC)

Market icon

Februar 2026 Temperaturerhöhung (ºC)

Mar 10

Mar 10

1,15–1,19ºC 54%

1,20–1,24ºC 21%

1,10–1,14ºC 17.2%

1,05–1,09ºC 4.4%

Polymarket

$462,355 Vol.

1,15–1,19ºC 54%

1,20–1,24ºC 21%

1,10–1,14ºC 17.2%

1,05–1,09ºC 4.4%

Polymarket

$462,355 Vol.

<1,05ºC

$47,492 Vol.

3%

1,05–1,09ºC

$42,813 Vol.

4%

1,10–1,14ºC

$77,781 Vol.

17%

1,15–1,19ºC

$83,745 Vol.

54%

1,20–1,24ºC

$101,971 Vol.

21%

>1,24ºC

$108,553 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released.

An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).

If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Volumen
$462,355
Enddatum
Mar 10, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 2, 2026, 4:59 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for February 2026 when it is released. An anomaly within a named bracket for February 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for February 2026 is later revised. The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Feb" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for February 2026 is provided by NASA by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Februar 2026 Temperaturerhöhung (ºC)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "1,15–1,19ºC" at 54%, followed by "1,20–1,24ºC" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Februar 2026 Temperaturerhöhung (ºC)" has generated $462.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Februar 2026 Temperaturerhöhung (ºC)," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Februar 2026 Temperaturerhöhung (ºC)" is "1,15–1,19ºC" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "1,20–1,24ºC" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Februar 2026 Temperaturerhöhung (ºC)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.