Alexandre Pantoja leads trader consensus at 40% implied probability to be UFC Flyweight champion by end-2026 after submitting Brandon Royval in the third round at UFC 310 on December 7, marking his third title defense and extending a dominant five-fight win streak anchored by elite grappling. Tatsuro Taira (35.5%), undefeated at 16-0 and ranked #3, closes the gap with suffocating pressure and recent decision win over Alex Perez, setting up a critical contender clash versus Manel Kape (#5, 32.5%) at UFC 311 on January 18. Kape's knockout power from wins over Tim Elliott and others bolsters his case, while Joshua Van (25.5%) gains from recent finishes, underscoring the division's youth, stylistic matchups, and turnover risks keeping probabilities tightly contested over two years.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertJoshua Van 50%
Alexandre Pantoja 30%
Kyoji Horiguchi 5.2%
Tim Elliott 2.6%
Joshua Van
50%
Alexandre Pantoja
40%
Kyoji Horiguchi
5%
Tim Elliott
3%
Amir Albazi
1%
Asu Almabayev
<1%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Steve Erceg
<1%
Manel Kape
33%
Tatsuro Taira
36%
Joshua Van 50%
Alexandre Pantoja 30%
Kyoji Horiguchi 5.2%
Tim Elliott 2.6%
Joshua Van
50%
Alexandre Pantoja
40%
Kyoji Horiguchi
5%
Tim Elliott
3%
Amir Albazi
1%
Asu Almabayev
<1%
Brandon Moreno
<1%
Brandon Royval
<1%
Steve Erceg
<1%
Manel Kape
33%
Tatsuro Taira
36%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 2, 2026, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Alexandre Pantoja leads trader consensus at 40% implied probability to be UFC Flyweight champion by end-2026 after submitting Brandon Royval in the third round at UFC 310 on December 7, marking his third title defense and extending a dominant five-fight win streak anchored by elite grappling. Tatsuro Taira (35.5%), undefeated at 16-0 and ranked #3, closes the gap with suffocating pressure and recent decision win over Alex Perez, setting up a critical contender clash versus Manel Kape (#5, 32.5%) at UFC 311 on January 18. Kape's knockout power from wins over Tim Elliott and others bolsters his case, while Joshua Van (25.5%) gains from recent finishes, underscoring the division's youth, stylistic matchups, and turnover risks keeping probabilities tightly contested over two years.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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