Trader consensus heavily favors reigning UFC middleweight champion Khamzat Chimaev at 68% implied probability to hold the title through 2026, driven by his undefeated streak, elite wrestling, and dominant finish over former champ Dricus du Plessis that claimed the belt late last year, despite a brief post-surgery layoff ending with his return to camp. Sean Strickland sits at 25% after his emphatic third-round TKO of Anthony Hernandez at UFC Houston on February 21, earning a high-profile title shot against Chimaev in the UFC 328 main event on May 9 in Newark—his volume striking and resilience position him as the primary threat. Lower probabilities for Imavov, du Plessis, Borralho, and others reflect their rankings and lack of immediate title path amid Chimaev's "boogeyman" status.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertKhamzat Chimaev 68%
Sean Strickland 24.9%
Nassourdine Imavov 2.8%
Dricus Du Plessis 2.6%
$36,438 Vol.
$36,438 Vol.
Khamzat Chimaev
68%
Sean Strickland
25%
Nassourdine Imavov
3%
Dricus Du Plessis
3%
Caio Borralho
2%
Brendan Allen
1%
Reinier de Ridder
1%
Anthony Hernandez
1%
Israel Adesanya
1%
Robert Whittaker
1%
Jared Cannonier
1%
Khamzat Chimaev 68%
Sean Strickland 24.9%
Nassourdine Imavov 2.8%
Dricus Du Plessis 2.6%
$36,438 Vol.
$36,438 Vol.
Khamzat Chimaev
68%
Sean Strickland
25%
Nassourdine Imavov
3%
Dricus Du Plessis
3%
Caio Borralho
2%
Brendan Allen
1%
Reinier de Ridder
1%
Anthony Hernandez
1%
Israel Adesanya
1%
Robert Whittaker
1%
Jared Cannonier
1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Markt eröffnet: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors reigning UFC middleweight champion Khamzat Chimaev at 68% implied probability to hold the title through 2026, driven by his undefeated streak, elite wrestling, and dominant finish over former champ Dricus du Plessis that claimed the belt late last year, despite a brief post-surgery layoff ending with his return to camp. Sean Strickland sits at 25% after his emphatic third-round TKO of Anthony Hernandez at UFC Houston on February 21, earning a high-profile title shot against Chimaev in the UFC 328 main event on May 9 in Newark—his volume striking and resilience position him as the primary threat. Lower probabilities for Imavov, du Plessis, Borralho, and others reflect their rankings and lack of immediate title path amid Chimaev's "boogeyman" status.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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