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Wer wird der nächste sein, der das Trump-Kabinett verlässt?

Market icon

Wer wird der nächste sein, der das Trump-Kabinett verlässt?

Dec 31

Dec 31

Lori Chavez-DeRemer 57%

Pete Hegseth 11.2%

Tulsi Gabbard 10.7%

Niemand vor 2027 6.5%

Polymarket

$1,986,596 Vol.

Lori Chavez-DeRemer 57%

Pete Hegseth 11.2%

Tulsi Gabbard 10.7%

Niemand vor 2027 6.5%

Polymarket

$1,986,596 Vol.

Lori Chavez-DeRemer

$73,296 Vol.

57%

Pete Hegseth

$468,685 Vol.

11%

Tulsi Gabbard

$693,915 Vol.

11%

Niemand vor 2027

$454,829 Vol.

7%

Howard Lutnick

$26,207 Vol.

3%

Mike Waltz

$4,379 Vol.

3%

Scott Bessent

$4,573 Vol.

2%

Russell T. Vought

$4,146 Vol.

2%

Doug Collins

$3,527 Vol.

2%

Brooke Rollins

$6,770 Vol.

2%

J.D. Vance

$7,176 Vol.

1%

Sean Duffy

$67,129 Vol.

1%

Lee Zeldin

$70,520 Vol.

1%

Doug Burgum

$6,065 Vol.

1%

Scott Turner

$5,646 Vol.

1%

Pam Bondi

$4,128 Vol.

1%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$3,565 Vol.

1%

Susie Wiles

$4,861 Vol.

1%

John Ratcliffe

$4,146 Vol.

1%

Jamieson Greer

$4,846 Vol.

1%

Kelly Loeffler

$3,960 Vol.

1%

Linda McMahon

$9,817 Vol.

1%

Marco Rubio

$50,379 Vol.

1%

Chris Wright

$4,028 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's escalating scandals—including an inspector general probe into alleged travel fraud, misuse of department funds for a personal event, office alcohol use, and an inappropriate relationship with a security aide—have propelled her to 57% trader consensus as the next Trump Cabinet departure, amid recent resignations of top aides and her bodyguard last week. Her husband was barred from Labor headquarters over sexual assault claims by staffers earlier this month, intensifying White House scrutiny following Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's recent exit. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth trails at 11% on lingering calls for resignation over past military leaks and directives, while DNI Tulsi Gabbard sits at 11% after a top aide's protest resignation over Iran policy last week, reflecting crowded uncertainty in Cabinet turnover amid investigations and congressional oversight.

Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's escalating scandals—including an inspector general probe into alleged travel fraud, misuse of department funds for a personal event, office alcohol use, and an inappropriate relationship with a security aide—have propelled her to 57% trader consensus as the next Trump Cabinet departure, amid recent resignations of top aides and her bodyguard last week. Her husband was barred from Labor headquarters over sexual assault claims by staffers earlier this month, intensifying White House scrutiny following Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's recent exit. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth trails at 11% on lingering calls for resignation over past military leaks and directives, while DNI Tulsi Gabbard sits at 11% after a top aide's protest resignation over Iran policy last week, reflecting crowded uncertainty in Cabinet turnover amid investigations and congressional oversight.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve based on the next individual announced to leave the Trump Cabinet, or who otherwise ceases to be a member of the administration. If no one leaves by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “None before 2027”. An announcement of an individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the resignation/removal takes effect. If multiple individuals announce departures or are removed at the same time, the market will resolve to the individual who actually leaves office first. If they leave simultaneously, the market will resolve to the individual whose last name comes first alphabetically. For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President’s Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA). Acting officials serving in these roles are not included. The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market. An individual will be considered to have left the Cabinet if they resign from or are removed from any Cabinet-level position, even if they are subsequently appointed to a different Cabinet-level role. If a candidate who is not already listed, assumes a listed cabinet position they will be added to the market. However, candidates who have merely been nominated for a cabinet position will not be considered to have left, even if their nomination is rejected or withdrawn. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's escalating scandals—including an inspector general probe into alleged travel fraud, misuse of department funds for a personal event, office alcohol use, and an inappropriate relationship with a security aide—have propelled her to 57% trader consensus as the next Trump Cabinet departure, amid recent resignations of top aides and her bodyguard last week. Her husband was barred from Labor headquarters over sexual assault claims by staffers earlier this month, intensifying White House scrutiny following Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's recent exit. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth trails at 11% on lingering calls for resignation over past military leaks and directives, while DNI Tulsi Gabbard sits at 11% after a top aide's protest resignation over Iran policy last week, reflecting crowded uncertainty in Cabinet turnover amid investigations and congressional oversight.

Labor Secretary Lori Chavez-DeRemer's escalating scandals—including an inspector general probe into alleged travel fraud, misuse of department funds for a personal event, office alcohol use, and an inappropriate relationship with a security aide—have propelled her to 57% trader consensus as the next Trump Cabinet departure, amid recent resignations of top aides and her bodyguard last week. Her husband was barred from Labor headquarters over sexual assault claims by staffers earlier this month, intensifying White House scrutiny following Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem's recent exit. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth trails at 11% on lingering calls for resignation over past military leaks and directives, while DNI Tulsi Gabbard sits at 11% after a top aide's protest resignation over Iran policy last week, reflecting crowded uncertainty in Cabinet turnover amid investigations and congressional oversight.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird der nächste sein, der das Trump-Kabinett verlässt?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 24 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Lori Chavez-DeRemer" mit 57%, gefolgt von „Pete Hegseth" mit 11%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 57¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 57% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Wer wird der nächste sein, der das Trump-Kabinett verlässt?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $2 million generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 6, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird der nächste sein, der das Trump-Kabinett verlässt?" ist „Lori Chavez-DeRemer" mit 57%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 57% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Pete Hegseth" mit 11%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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