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Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

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Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

$281,693 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$281,693 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mark Kelly

$4,871 Vol.

20%

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Josh Hawley

$3,257 Vol.

19%

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J.D. Vance

$0 Vol.

17%

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Steve Bannon

$8,614 Vol.

16%

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Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

16%

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Pete Buttigieg

$4,754 Vol.

16%

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Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

15%

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Brian Kemp

$1,000 Vol.

15%

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John Fetterman

$4,059 Vol.

15%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$3,603 Vol.

15%

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Tucker Carlson

$0 Vol.

14%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,171 Vol.

16%

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Ron DeSantis

$0 Vol.

14%

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Nikki Haley

$1,627 Vol.

14%

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Jared Polis

$0 Vol.

13%

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Andrew Yang

$7,688 Vol.

13%

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Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

13%

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Kamala Harris

$12,719 Vol.

13%

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Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

12%

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Andy Beshear

$4,402 Vol.

12%

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Rahm Emanuel

$0 Vol.

12%

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Wes Moore

$5,180 Vol.

12%

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Elise Stefanik

$1,735 Vol.

12%

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Mark Cuban

$884 Vol.

12%

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Gavin Newsom

$43,475 Vol.

12%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

12%

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Cory Booker

$0 Vol.

11%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$13,604 Vol.

11%

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Ted Cruz

$10,418 Vol.

11%

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John Thune

$2,136 Vol.

11%

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Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

11%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$27,284 Vol.

11%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,194 Vol.

11%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,277 Vol.

11%

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Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

10%

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Marco Rubio

$3,785 Vol.

10%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$5,847 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,116 Vol.

10%

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Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

9%

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Mike Pence

$8,901 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$0 Vol.

9%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

9%

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Byron Donalds

$5,374 Vol.

9%

Market icon

George Clooney

$0 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$7,635 Vol.

8%

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Kim Kardashian

$0 Vol.

8%

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Jon Stewart

$0 Vol.

8%

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Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

8%

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Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

8%

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Tim Walz

$3,316 Vol.

8%

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Liz Cheney

$0 Vol.

8%

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Hillary Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

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Roy Cooper

$3,405 Vol.

7%

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Chelsea Clinton

$0 Vol.

7%

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Tom Brady

$0 Vol.

7%

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Bernie Sanders

$0 Vol.

7%

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Raphael Warnock

$0 Vol.

7%

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Josh Shapiro

$0 Vol.

7%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,072 Vol.

6%

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Phil Murphy

$0 Vol.

12%

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Erika Kirk

$5,991 Vol.

6%

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Elon Musk

$0 Vol.

6%

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Hunter Biden

$20,069 Vol.

5%

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Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

5%

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Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

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Michelle Obama

$10,126 Vol.

4%

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Zohran Mamdani

$0 Vol.

4%

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MrBeast

$20,106 Vol.

3%

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LeBron James

$0 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major U.S. politician has formally announced a 2028 presidential candidacy ahead of the December 31, 2026, deadline, leaving the field wide open amid post-2024 realignments. In the last 48 hours, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) stated he is seriously considering a Republican bid at 50-50 odds, aiming to bridge libertarian and business conservative wings against GOP populism, while Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) declined to rule out a Democratic run. With President Trump term-limited, Vice President J.D. Vance holds early frontrunner status in Republican primary speculation, but 2026 midterm elections in November could elevate performers from swing states like governors Gretchen Whitmer or Josh Shapiro, shaping trader assessments of announcement timing.

No major U.S. politician has formally announced a 2028 presidential candidacy ahead of the December 31, 2026, deadline, leaving the field wide open amid post-2024 realignments. In the last 48 hours, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) stated he is seriously considering a Republican bid at 50-50 odds, aiming to bridge libertarian and business conservative wings against GOP populism, while Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) declined to rule out a Democratic run. With President Trump term-limited, Vice President J.D. Vance holds early frontrunner status in Republican primary speculation, but 2026 midterm elections in November could elevate performers from swing states like governors Gretchen Whitmer or Josh Shapiro, shaping trader assessments of announcement timing.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major U.S. politician has formally announced a 2028 presidential candidacy ahead of the December 31, 2026, deadline, leaving the field wide open amid post-2024 realignments. In the last 48 hours, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) stated he is seriously considering a Republican bid at 50-50 odds, aiming to bridge libertarian and business conservative wings against GOP populism, while Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) declined to rule out a Democratic run. With President Trump term-limited, Vice President J.D. Vance holds early frontrunner status in Republican primary speculation, but 2026 midterm elections in November could elevate performers from swing states like governors Gretchen Whitmer or Josh Shapiro, shaping trader assessments of announcement timing.

No major U.S. politician has formally announced a 2028 presidential candidacy ahead of the December 31, 2026, deadline, leaving the field wide open amid post-2024 realignments. In the last 48 hours, Sen. Rand Paul (R-KY) stated he is seriously considering a Republican bid at 50-50 odds, aiming to bridge libertarian and business conservative wings against GOP populism, while Sen. Cory Booker (D-NJ) declined to rule out a Democratic run. With President Trump term-limited, Vice President J.D. Vance holds early frontrunner status in Republican primary speculation, but 2026 midterm elections in November could elevate performers from swing states like governors Gretchen Whitmer or Josh Shapiro, shaping trader assessments of announcement timing.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 70+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Gretchen Whitmer" mit 51%, gefolgt von „Mark Kelly" mit 20%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 51¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist „Gretchen Whitmer" mit 51%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Mark Kelly" mit 20%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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