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Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

Market icon

Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?

$358,715 Vol.

31. Dez. 2026
Polymarket

$358,715 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Mark Kelly

$4,892 Vol.

22%

Market icon

J.D. Vance

$0 Vol.

17%

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Steve Bannon

$8,757 Vol.

16%

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Pete Buttigieg

$4,754 Vol.

16%

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Rand Paul

$0 Vol.

15%

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Brian Kemp

$1,000 Vol.

15%

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Josh Hawley

$3,257 Vol.

15%

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John Fetterman

$4,059 Vol.

15%

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Ron DeSantis

$0 Vol.

14%

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Tucker Carlson

$0 Vol.

14%

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J.B. Pritzker

$2,171 Vol.

17%

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Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

14%

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Nikki Haley

$1,627 Vol.

14%

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Andy Beshear

$4,402 Vol.

13%

Market icon

Jared Polis

$0 Vol.

13%

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Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

13%

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Andrew Yang

$7,688 Vol.

13%

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Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

12%

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Rahm Emanuel

$0 Vol.

12%

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Elise Stefanik

$1,747 Vol.

12%

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Ted Cruz

$10,430 Vol.

12%

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John Thune

$2,226 Vol.

12%

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Gavin Newsom

$43,617 Vol.

12%

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Wes Moore

$5,190 Vol.

12%

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Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

12%

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Kamala Harris

$12,719 Vol.

12%

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Tulsi Gabbard

$3,647 Vol.

12%

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Cory Booker

$0 Vol.

11%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$13,623 Vol.

11%

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Glenn Youngkin

$0 Vol.

11%

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$27,284 Vol.

11%

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Stephen A. Smith

$14,194 Vol.

11%

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Jon Ossoff

$1,277 Vol.

11%

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Gina Raimondo

$0 Vol.

10%

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Marco Rubio

$3,785 Vol.

10%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$5,860 Vol.

10%

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Beto O’Rourke

$5,626 Vol.

10%

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Mark Cuban

$1,135 Vol.

10%

Market icon

Vivek Ramaswamy

$6,116 Vol.

10%

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Mike Pence

$8,901 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump Jr.

$0 Vol.

9%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$0 Vol.

9%

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Byron Donalds

$5,374 Vol.

9%

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Greg Abbott

$1,726 Vol.

9%

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George Clooney

$0 Vol.

9%

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Donald Trump

$7,645 Vol.

8%

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Liz Cheney

$79 Vol.

8%

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Kim Kardashian

$0 Vol.

8%

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Jon Stewart

$0 Vol.

8%

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Oprah Winfrey

$0 Vol.

8%

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Chelsea Clinton

$4,403 Vol.

8%

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Tom Brady

$8,060 Vol.

8%

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Tim Walz

$3,510 Vol.

8%

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Hillary Clinton

$7,221 Vol.

7%

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Roy Cooper

$3,405 Vol.

7%

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Bernie Sanders

$0 Vol.

7%

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Raphael Warnock

$1,702 Vol.

7%

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Josh Shapiro

$4,957 Vol.

7%

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Matt Gaetz

$2,272 Vol.

6%

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Erika Kirk

$6,059 Vol.

6%

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Phil Murphy

$0 Vol.

12%

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Elon Musk

$7,218 Vol.

6%

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Ivanka Trump

$12,840 Vol.

5%

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Hunter Biden

$20,754 Vol.

5%

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Barack Obama

$0 Vol.

4%

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Zohran Mamdani

$20,902 Vol.

4%

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Michelle Obama

$10,466 Vol.

4%

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MrBeast

$20,136 Vol.

3%

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LeBron James

$0 Vol.

2%

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Gretchen Whitmer

$0 Vol.

51%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of early April 2026, no major U.S. political figures have formally announced presidential campaigns for the 2028 election before year-end, consistent with historical patterns where serious declarations typically emerge in late 2027 ahead of early primaries. The field remains wide open following President Trump's term limit, with Republican Vice President J.D. Vance drawing frontrunner speculation due to incumbency and prior endorsements, while Democrats consider governors like Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro after their recent opposition to administration Iran strikes in early March. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days; upcoming 2026 midterms in battleground states will test contenders' viability and fundraising, potentially catalyzing exploratory committees.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$358,715
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.As of early April 2026, no major U.S. political figures have formally announced presidential campaigns for the 2028 election before year-end, consistent with historical patterns where serious declarations typically emerge in late 2027 ahead of early primaries. The field remains wide open following President Trump's term limit, with Republican Vice President J.D. Vance drawing frontrunner speculation due to incumbency and prior endorsements, while Democrats consider governors like Gavin Newsom, Gretchen Whitmer, and Pennsylvania's Josh Shapiro after their recent opposition to administration Iran strikes in early March. No significant developments have occurred in the past 30 days; upcoming 2026 midterms in battleground states will test contenders' viability and fundraising, potentially catalyzing exploratory committees.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$358,715
Enddatum
31. Dez. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 70+ möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Gretchen Whitmer" mit 51%, gefolgt von „Mark Kelly" mit 22%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 51¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Wer wird den Präsidentschaftslauf vor 2027 ankündigen?" ist „Gretchen Whitmer" mit 51%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 51% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Mark Kelly" mit 22%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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