Following Slovenia's April 24 proportional representation parliamentary election, no party secured a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS, 30 seats) narrowly ahead of Janez Janša's right-wing SDS (27 seats), followed by Social Democrats (SD, 15 seats), Nova Slovenija (NSi, 8 seats), and Resni.ca (7 seats). President Nataša Pirc Musar initially tasked Golob with forming a coalition government, but negotiations collapsed last week over ministry allocations and policy disputes despite tentative SD and Levica support, prompting Golob to return the mandate on July 31. On August 2, she awarded it to Janša, who is now pursuing talks with NSi, Resni.ca, and smaller parties like DeSUS to build a majority amid tight deadlines. Failure could trigger a snap election, heightening uncertainty for coalition outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWhich parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?
$87,013 Vol.

Social Democrats (SD)
73%

Democrats (D)
72%

Freedom Movement (GS)
69%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
48%

The Left (Levica)
38%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
28%

Resni.ca (Res)
17%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
33%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
3%

Party of Generations (SG)
2%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
2%

Our Country (ND)
1%

Prerod (PVP)
1%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
1%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
42%
$87,013 Vol.

Social Democrats (SD)
73%

Democrats (D)
72%

Freedom Movement (GS)
69%

Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)
48%

The Left (Levica)
38%

Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)
28%

Resni.ca (Res)
17%

New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)
33%

Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)
3%

Party of Generations (SG)
2%

Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)
2%

Our Country (ND)
1%

Prerod (PVP)
1%

Slovenian National Party (SNS)
1%

Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.
A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Following Slovenia's April 24 proportional representation parliamentary election, no party secured a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS, 30 seats) narrowly ahead of Janez Janša's right-wing SDS (27 seats), followed by Social Democrats (SD, 15 seats), Nova Slovenija (NSi, 8 seats), and Resni.ca (7 seats). President Nataša Pirc Musar initially tasked Golob with forming a coalition government, but negotiations collapsed last week over ministry allocations and policy disputes despite tentative SD and Levica support, prompting Golob to return the mandate on July 31. On August 2, she awarded it to Janša, who is now pursuing talks with NSi, Resni.ca, and smaller parties like DeSUS to build a majority amid tight deadlines. Failure could trigger a snap election, heightening uncertainty for coalition outcomes.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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