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Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

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Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?

$87,013 Vol.

Mar 22, 2026
Polymarket

$87,013 Vol.

Polymarket
Market icon

Social Democrats (SD)

$6,615 Vol.

73%

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Democrats (D)

$12,225 Vol.

72%

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Freedom Movement (GS)

$18,681 Vol.

69%

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Slovenian People’s Party (SLS)

$316 Vol.

48%

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The Left (Levica)

$3,729 Vol.

38%

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Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS)

$13,057 Vol.

28%

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Resni.ca (Res)

$16,696 Vol.

17%

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New Slovenia – Christian Democrats (NSi)

$2,167 Vol.

33%

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Pirate Party of Slovenia (PPS)

$9,171 Vol.

3%

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Party of Generations (SG)

$0 Vol.

2%

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Mi, socialisti! (Mi!)

$0 Vol.

2%

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Our Country (ND)

$0 Vol.

1%

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Prerod (PVP)

$1,921 Vol.

1%

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Slovenian National Party (SNS)

$2,449 Vol.

1%

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Vesna – Green Party (Vesna)

$0 Vol.

42%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Following Slovenia's April 24 proportional representation parliamentary election, no party secured a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS, 30 seats) narrowly ahead of Janez Janša's right-wing SDS (27 seats), followed by Social Democrats (SD, 15 seats), Nova Slovenija (NSi, 8 seats), and Resni.ca (7 seats). President Nataša Pirc Musar initially tasked Golob with forming a coalition government, but negotiations collapsed last week over ministry allocations and policy disputes despite tentative SD and Levica support, prompting Golob to return the mandate on July 31. On August 2, she awarded it to Janša, who is now pursuing talks with NSi, Resni.ca, and smaller parties like DeSUS to build a majority amid tight deadlines. Failure could trigger a snap election, heightening uncertainty for coalition outcomes.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances.

A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify.

If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.
Volumen
$87,013
Enddatum
Mar 22, 2026
Markt eröffnet
Mar 13, 2026, 11:13 AM ET
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Slovenian government formed after the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve once the first government is officially confirmed following a successful confirmation vote in the Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor), with ministers sworn in under non-caretaker circumstances. A party will only be considered part of the coalition if it signs the coalition agreement and provides at least one cabinet minister. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without signing the coalition agreement and holding a cabinet post will not qualify. If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Government of Slovenia.Following Slovenia's April 24 proportional representation parliamentary election, no party secured a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS, 30 seats) narrowly ahead of Janez Janša's right-wing SDS (27 seats), followed by Social Democrats (SD, 15 seats), Nova Slovenija (NSi, 8 seats), and Resni.ca (7 seats). President Nataša Pirc Musar initially tasked Golob with forming a coalition government, but negotiations collapsed last week over ministry allocations and policy disputes despite tentative SD and Levica support, prompting Golob to return the mandate on July 31. On August 2, she awarded it to Janša, who is now pursuing talks with NSi, Resni.ca, and smaller parties like DeSUS to build a majority amid tight deadlines. Failure could trigger a snap election, heightening uncertainty for coalition outcomes.

Following Slovenia's April 24 proportional representation parliamentary election, no party secured a majority in the 90-seat National Assembly, with Robert Golob's center-left Freedom Movement (GS, 30 seats) narrowly ahead of Janez Janša's right-wing SDS (27 seats), followed by Social Democrats (SD, 15 seats), Nova Slovenija (NSi, 8 seats), and Resni.ca (7 seats). President Nataša Pirc Musar initially tasked Golob with forming a coalition government, but negotiations collapsed last week over ministry allocations and policy disputes despite tentative SD and Levica support, prompting Golob to return the mandate on July 31. On August 2, she awarded it to Janša, who is now pursuing talks with NSi, Resni.ca, and smaller parties like DeSUS to build a majority amid tight deadlines. Failure could trigger a snap election, heightening uncertainty for coalition outcomes.

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„Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 15 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Social Democrats (SD)" mit 73%, gefolgt von „Democrats (D)" mit 72%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 73¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 73% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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Der aktuelle Favorit für „Which parties will be part of the next Government of Slovenia?" ist „Social Democrats (SD)" mit 73%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 73% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Democrats (D)" mit 72%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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