Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly Iran's conflict and Israel's reported violation of a proposed pause, have driven crude oil above $100 per barrel, fueling inflation fears and a sharp risk-off shift in equities. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) plunged 1.7% to close at 6,368.85 on March 27—its lowest in three months—erasing all 2026 year-to-date gains amid heightened VIX volatility and down 7.4% month-to-date. Traders are pricing in recession risks tied to energy costs and softer economic signals, with futures pointing lower into Monday's open. Key catalysts ahead include March 31's JOLTS labor data release at 10 a.m. ET, potentially influencing the index's final close and resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$705,360 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 8.000 $
<1%
↑ $7.500
<1%
↑ $7.300
<1%
↑ $7.200
<1%
↑ 7.100 $
1%
↑ $7.000
1%
↑ $6.900
1%
↓ $6.300
44%
↓ $6.200
33%
↓ $6.000
5%
↓ $5.000
<1%
$705,360 Vol.
↑ 8.000 $
$0 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.500
$38,657 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.300
$77,456 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.200
$5,037 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7.100 $
$44,091 Vol.
1%
↑ $7.000
$25,523 Vol.
1%
↑ $6.900
$64,634 Vol.
1%
↓ $6.300
$128,690 Vol.
44%
↓ $6.200
$35,851 Vol.
33%
↓ $6.000
$51,970 Vol.
5%
↓ $5.000
$160,122 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly Iran's conflict and Israel's reported violation of a proposed pause, have driven crude oil above $100 per barrel, fueling inflation fears and a sharp risk-off shift in equities. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) plunged 1.7% to close at 6,368.85 on March 27—its lowest in three months—erasing all 2026 year-to-date gains amid heightened VIX volatility and down 7.4% month-to-date. Traders are pricing in recession risks tied to energy costs and softer economic signals, with futures pointing lower into Monday's open. Key catalysts ahead include March 31's JOLTS labor data release at 10 a.m. ET, potentially influencing the index's final close and resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$705,360Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly Iran's conflict and Israel's reported violation of a proposed pause, have driven crude oil above $100 per barrel, fueling inflation fears and a sharp risk-off shift in equities. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) plunged 1.7% to close at 6,368.85 on March 27—its lowest in three months—erasing all 2026 year-to-date gains amid heightened VIX volatility and down 7.4% month-to-date. Traders are pricing in recession risks tied to energy costs and softer economic signals, with futures pointing lower into Monday's open. Key catalysts ahead include March 31's JOLTS labor data release at 10 a.m. ET, potentially influencing the index's final close and resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$705,360Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Ja
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Ja
Escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, particularly Iran's conflict and Israel's reported violation of a proposed pause, have driven crude oil above $100 per barrel, fueling inflation fears and a sharp risk-off shift in equities. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) plunged 1.7% to close at 6,368.85 on March 27—its lowest in three months—erasing all 2026 year-to-date gains amid heightened VIX volatility and down 7.4% month-to-date. Traders are pricing in recession risks tied to energy costs and softer economic signals, with futures pointing lower into Monday's open. Key catalysts ahead include March 31's JOLTS labor data release at 10 a.m. ET, potentially influencing the index's final close and resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen