The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 3.5% over the prior week amid surging 10-year Treasury yields above 4.3% and Brent crude topping $98 per barrel, fueled by sticky March PPI inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and lingering Iran-related geopolitical risks. This erased early-month gains from a brief de-escalation rally following Trump administration peace proposals, highlighting trader consensus on prolonged Federal Reserve pause at 3.50%-3.75% fed funds amid resilient labor markets. With resolution at March 31 close imminent—just two trading sessions away—focus centers on today's open, impending core PCE data, and initial Q1 earnings from megacaps like NVIDIA, which could sway volatility near 6,400 support levels. Polymarket odds capture this skin-in-the-game caution, pricing elevated uncertainty in range-bound trading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$874,558 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 8.000 $
<1%
↑ $7.500
<1%
↑ $7.300
<1%
↑ $7.200
<1%
↑ 7.100 $
<1%
↑ $7.000
<1%
↑ $6.900
1%
↓ $6.300
43%
↓ $6.200
22%
↓ $6.000
5%
↓ $5.000
<1%
$874,558 Vol.
↑ 8.000 $
$110,732 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.500
$43,362 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.300
$78,588 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.200
$6,563 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7.100 $
$48,893 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.000
$26,815 Vol.
<1%
↑ $6.900
$66,454 Vol.
1%
↓ $6.300
$150,832 Vol.
43%
↓ $6.200
$40,032 Vol.
22%
↓ $6.000
$56,647 Vol.
5%
↓ $5.000
$172,309 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 3.5% over the prior week amid surging 10-year Treasury yields above 4.3% and Brent crude topping $98 per barrel, fueled by sticky March PPI inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and lingering Iran-related geopolitical risks. This erased early-month gains from a brief de-escalation rally following Trump administration peace proposals, highlighting trader consensus on prolonged Federal Reserve pause at 3.50%-3.75% fed funds amid resilient labor markets. With resolution at March 31 close imminent—just two trading sessions away—focus centers on today's open, impending core PCE data, and initial Q1 earnings from megacaps like NVIDIA, which could sway volatility near 6,400 support levels. Polymarket odds capture this skin-in-the-game caution, pricing elevated uncertainty in range-bound trading.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$874,558Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 3.5% over the prior week amid surging 10-year Treasury yields above 4.3% and Brent crude topping $98 per barrel, fueled by sticky March PPI inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and lingering Iran-related geopolitical risks. This erased early-month gains from a brief de-escalation rally following Trump administration peace proposals, highlighting trader consensus on prolonged Federal Reserve pause at 3.50%-3.75% fed funds amid resilient labor markets. With resolution at March 31 close imminent—just two trading sessions away—focus centers on today's open, impending core PCE data, and initial Q1 earnings from megacaps like NVIDIA, which could sway volatility near 6,400 support levels. Polymarket odds capture this skin-in-the-game caution, pricing elevated uncertainty in range-bound trading.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$874,558Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed at 6,368.85 on March 27, down 3.5% over the prior week amid surging 10-year Treasury yields above 4.3% and Brent crude topping $98 per barrel, fueled by sticky March PPI inflation at 3.4% year-over-year and lingering Iran-related geopolitical risks. This erased early-month gains from a brief de-escalation rally following Trump administration peace proposals, highlighting trader consensus on prolonged Federal Reserve pause at 3.50%-3.75% fed funds amid resilient labor markets. With resolution at March 31 close imminent—just two trading sessions away—focus centers on today's open, impending core PCE data, and initial Q1 earnings from megacaps like NVIDIA, which could sway volatility near 6,400 support levels. Polymarket odds capture this skin-in-the-game caution, pricing elevated uncertainty in range-bound trading.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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