The S&P 500 closed Friday March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.7% amid a five-week losing streak fueled by surging oil prices, Iran-related geopolitical risks, and ECB warnings on persistent inflation, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. This sharp pullback from mid-March highs near 6,700 reflects trader consensus pricing in the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with one dissenter favoring easing but dot plots signaling caution amid sticky core PCE readings. With only Monday March 30 and Tuesday March 31 trading sessions remaining before month-end resolution—based on the official NYSE close—quarter-end rebalancing flows and light economic data pose key swing factors, while S&P E-mini futures imply modest further downside to around 6,400.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$727,936 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 8.000 $
<1%
↑ $7.500
<1%
↑ $7.300
<1%
↑ $7.200
1%
↑ 7.100 $
1%
↑ $7.000
1%
↑ $6.900
1%
↓ $6.300
49%
↓ $6.200
33%
↓ $6.000
4%
↓ $5.000
<1%
$727,936 Vol.
↑ 8.000 $
$0 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.500
$42,806 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.300
$78,529 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7.200
$5,485 Vol.
1%
↑ 7.100 $
$44,116 Vol.
1%
↑ $7.000
$25,548 Vol.
1%
↑ $6.900
$65,447 Vol.
1%
↓ $6.300
$137,751 Vol.
49%
↓ $6.200
$37,060 Vol.
33%
↓ $6.000
$52,018 Vol.
4%
↓ $5.000
$165,846 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed Friday March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.7% amid a five-week losing streak fueled by surging oil prices, Iran-related geopolitical risks, and ECB warnings on persistent inflation, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. This sharp pullback from mid-March highs near 6,700 reflects trader consensus pricing in the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with one dissenter favoring easing but dot plots signaling caution amid sticky core PCE readings. With only Monday March 30 and Tuesday March 31 trading sessions remaining before month-end resolution—based on the official NYSE close—quarter-end rebalancing flows and light economic data pose key swing factors, while S&P E-mini futures imply modest further downside to around 6,400.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
Volumen
$727,936Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed Friday March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.7% amid a five-week losing streak fueled by surging oil prices, Iran-related geopolitical risks, and ECB warnings on persistent inflation, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. This sharp pullback from mid-March highs near 6,700 reflects trader consensus pricing in the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with one dissenter favoring easing but dot plots signaling caution amid sticky core PCE readings. With only Monday March 30 and Tuesday March 31 trading sessions remaining before month-end resolution—based on the official NYSE close—quarter-end rebalancing flows and light economic data pose key swing factors, while S&P E-mini futures imply modest further downside to around 6,400.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
Volumen
$727,936Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 closed Friday March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.7% amid a five-week losing streak fueled by surging oil prices, Iran-related geopolitical risks, and ECB warnings on persistent inflation, pushing the Nasdaq into correction territory. This sharp pullback from mid-March highs near 6,700 reflects trader consensus pricing in the Federal Reserve's March 18 decision to hold the fed funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, with one dissenter favoring easing but dot plots signaling caution amid sticky core PCE readings. With only Monday March 30 and Tuesday March 31 trading sessions remaining before month-end resolution—based on the official NYSE close—quarter-end rebalancing flows and light economic data pose key swing factors, while S&P E-mini futures imply modest further downside to around 6,400.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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