Was wird vor GTA VI passieren?
Was wird vor GTA VI passieren?
$18,793,509 Vol.
Jul 31, 2026
Drake veröffentlicht Iceman
92%
GPT-6 veröffentlicht
61%
Russland-Ukraine-Waffenstillstand
57%
Neues Rihanna-Album
53%
Trump nicht mehr Präsident
53%
China greift Taiwan an
52%
Neues Playboi Carti-Album
51%
Bitcoin erreicht $1 Mio
49%
Jesus Christus kehrt zurück
49%
$18,793,509 Vol.
Drake veröffentlicht Iceman
$67,029 Vol.
92%
GPT-6 veröffentlicht
$605,563 Vol.
61%
Russland-Ukraine-Waffenstillstand
$1,366,077 Vol.
57%
Neues Rihanna-Album
$646,362 Vol.
53%
Trump nicht mehr Präsident
$531,159 Vol.
53%
China greift Taiwan an
$1,461,846 Vol.
52%
Neues Playboi Carti-Album
$680,424 Vol.
51%
Bitcoin erreicht $1 Mio
$3,514,580 Vol.
49%
Jesus Christus kehrt zurück
$9,920,470 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50.
For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count.
The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive.
To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public.
GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 7, 2025, 10:20 AM ET
Volumen
$18,793,509Enddatum
Jul 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Aug 7, 2025, 10:20 AM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Frequently Asked Questions