Gold prices have tumbled nearly 10% in March 2026 to around $4,450 per ounce for front-month GC futures, driven by surging 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44%—the highest since July 2025—and a strengthening U.S. Dollar Index above 100, as traders price out Federal Reserve rate cuts amid robust economic data and persistent inflation pressures. This macro shift has overshadowed safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions and steady central bank purchases, which averaged 70 tonnes monthly in recent quarters. ETF inflows slowed post-February's $4.5 billion surge, amplifying the pullback. Looking to year-end, trader consensus reflects uncertainty, with JPMorgan eyeing $6,300 amid debt concerns, while upcoming April CPI data and FOMC meeting could recalibrate rate path expectations and gold's real yield sensitivity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWas wird Gold (GC) __ bis Ende Dezember erreichen?
Was wird Gold (GC) __ bis Ende Dezember erreichen?
$173,253 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
↑ $15.000
5%
↑ $12.000
8%
↑ $10.000
11%
↑ $8.000
13%
↑ $7.000
21%
↑ $6.000
48%
$173,253 Vol.
↑ $15.000
$17,441 Vol.
5%
↑ $12.000
$34,012 Vol.
8%
↑ $10.000
$15,194 Vol.
11%
↑ $8.000
$9,897 Vol.
13%
↑ $7.000
$22,510 Vol.
21%
↑ $6.000
$74,197 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices have tumbled nearly 10% in March 2026 to around $4,450 per ounce for front-month GC futures, driven by surging 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44%—the highest since July 2025—and a strengthening U.S. Dollar Index above 100, as traders price out Federal Reserve rate cuts amid robust economic data and persistent inflation pressures. This macro shift has overshadowed safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions and steady central bank purchases, which averaged 70 tonnes monthly in recent quarters. ETF inflows slowed post-February's $4.5 billion surge, amplifying the pullback. Looking to year-end, trader consensus reflects uncertainty, with JPMorgan eyeing $6,300 amid debt concerns, while upcoming April CPI data and FOMC meeting could recalibrate rate path expectations and gold's real yield sensitivity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Volumen
$173,253Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold prices have tumbled nearly 10% in March 2026 to around $4,450 per ounce for front-month GC futures, driven by surging 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44%—the highest since July 2025—and a strengthening U.S. Dollar Index above 100, as traders price out Federal Reserve rate cuts amid robust economic data and persistent inflation pressures. This macro shift has overshadowed safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions and steady central bank purchases, which averaged 70 tonnes monthly in recent quarters. ETF inflows slowed post-February's $4.5 billion surge, amplifying the pullback. Looking to year-end, trader consensus reflects uncertainty, with JPMorgan eyeing $6,300 amid debt concerns, while upcoming April CPI data and FOMC meeting could recalibrate rate path expectations and gold's real yield sensitivity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day, the official CME settlement price for the Active Month (front month) of Gold (GC) futures is equal to or above the listed price by the final trading day of December 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Volumen
$173,253Enddatum
Dec 31, 2026Markt eröffnet
Jan 29, 2026, 3:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold prices have tumbled nearly 10% in March 2026 to around $4,450 per ounce for front-month GC futures, driven by surging 10-year Treasury yields to 4.44%—the highest since July 2025—and a strengthening U.S. Dollar Index above 100, as traders price out Federal Reserve rate cuts amid robust economic data and persistent inflation pressures. This macro shift has overshadowed safe-haven demand from Middle East tensions and steady central bank purchases, which averaged 70 tonnes monthly in recent quarters. ETF inflows slowed post-February's $4.5 billion surge, amplifying the pullback. Looking to year-end, trader consensus reflects uncertainty, with JPMorgan eyeing $6,300 amid debt concerns, while upcoming April CPI data and FOMC meeting could recalibrate rate path expectations and gold's real yield sensitivity.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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