Redistricting shifted Texas’ 35th Congressional District into Republican-leaning territory after the 2025 mid-decade map changes, with Donald Trump carrying the area by roughly 10 points in 2024 and most forecasters rating the open seat Lean Republican. Johnny Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy who won the Democratic runoff decisively, faces Carlos De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz who secured the GOP nomination with Trump’s endorsement. A late-September poll showed the candidates nearly tied, while the October 9 candidate forum highlighted shared voter concerns over affordability, immigration, and tariffs ahead of early voting on October 19. Significant outside spending from both parties’ aligned super PACs and Garcia’s local law-enforcement profile have contributed to trader consensus assigning him the higher implied probability in the general election on November 3.