Skip to main content

Um in den USA zu traden, geh zu polymarket.us

icon for TX-35 Wahlsieger
Politik·Midterms

TX-35 Wahlsieger

icon for TX-35 Wahlsieger
Politik·Midterms

TX-35 Wahlsieger

Polymarket

$15,700 Vol.

Polymarket

$15,700 Vol.

Johnny Garcia (D)

$8,515 Vol.

65%

Carlos De La Cruz (R)

$7,185 Vol.

35%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Texas 35th district, shifted in 2025 redistricting from Democratic to Republican-leaning territory with a Trump +10 baseline from 2024, sets up the November 3 general election between Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia and Republican Carlos De La Cruz. Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law-and-order priorities, border infrastructure, and affordability, advanced after defeating Maureen Galindo in the May runoff amid widespread Democratic criticism of her antisemitic remarks. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz, secured the GOP nomination with President Trump’s endorsement over state Rep. John Lujan, who had Gov. Abbott’s backing. Recent polling shows a tight contest, and some forecasters rate the seat a tossup or lean Republican while others note potential Democratic opportunities tied to Hispanic voter sentiment and economic pressures. Trader consensus pricing Garcia ahead reflects these variables in a newly configured majority-Hispanic seat.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,700
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The redrawn Texas 35th district, shifted in 2025 redistricting from Democratic to Republican-leaning territory with a Trump +10 baseline from 2024, sets up the November 3 general election between Democratic nominee Johnny Garcia and Republican Carlos De La Cruz. Garcia, a Bexar County sheriff’s deputy emphasizing law-and-order priorities, border infrastructure, and affordability, advanced after defeating Maureen Galindo in the May runoff amid widespread Democratic criticism of her antisemitic remarks. De La Cruz, an Air Force veteran and brother of Rep. Monica De La Cruz, secured the GOP nomination with President Trump’s endorsement over state Rep. John Lujan, who had Gov. Abbott’s backing. Recent polling shows a tight contest, and some forecasters rate the seat a tossup or lean Republican while others note potential Democratic opportunities tied to Hispanic voter sentiment and economic pressures. Trader consensus pricing Garcia ahead reflects these variables in a newly configured majority-Hispanic seat.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-35 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$15,700
Enddatum
4. Nov. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET

Abwickler

0x2F5e3684c...

Verwandte

icon for Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz TX-36 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Republikanische Partei den Sitz TX-36 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

93%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus TX-34 gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz im Repräsentantenhaus TX-34 gewinnen?

77%
Ja
icon for Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz TX-33 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

Wird die Demokratische Partei den Sitz TX-33 im Repräsentantenhaus gewinnen?

96%
Ja

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„TX-35 Wahlsieger" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 2 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Johnny Garcia (D)" mit 65%, gefolgt von „Carlos De La Cruz (R)" mit 35%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 65¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „TX-35 Wahlsieger" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $15.7K generiert, seit der Markt am Dec 16, 2025 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „TX-35 Wahlsieger" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 2 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „TX-35 Wahlsieger" ist „Johnny Garcia (D)" mit 65%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 65% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Carlos De La Cruz (R)" mit 35%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „TX-35 Wahlsieger" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.