Polymarket's trader consensus reflects acute uncertainty for Tesla (TSLA) week-of-March 30 closing share price, pricing multiple $350-$395 buckets at 48-49.5% implied probabilities amid Friday's close near $362 following a 3% intraday drop to $359. Driving this diffusion is looming Q1 2026 vehicle delivery report—due early April—with analysts slashing estimates on softening EV demand and intensifying BYD competition eroding margins. Broader tech sector headwinds from geopolitical tensions add volatility, while ARK Invest's recent TSLA sales signal waning institutional conviction. Key swing factor: deliveries exceeding whisper numbers could catalyze upside to $390+, versus deeper misses testing $350 support ahead of late-April earnings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertTesla (TSLA) schließt die Woche vom 30. März um ___?
Tesla (TSLA) schließt die Woche vom 30. März um ___?
>395 $ 98%
<350 $ 50%
$350-$355 50%
$360-$365 50%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<350 $
50%
$350-$355
50%
$355-$360
48%
$360-$365
50%
$365–$370
49%
370–375 $
47%
$375-$380
50%
$380-$385
50%
$385-$390
49%
390–395 $
50%
>395 $
98%
>395 $ 98%
<350 $ 50%
$350-$355 50%
$360-$365 50%
NEW
NEW
Apr 3, 2026
<350 $
$0 Vol.
50%
$350-$355
$0 Vol.
50%
$355-$360
$0 Vol.
48%
$360-$365
$0 Vol.
50%
$365–$370
$0 Vol.
49%
370–375 $
$0 Vol.
47%
$375-$380
$0 Vol.
50%
$380-$385
$0 Vol.
50%
$385-$390
$0 Vol.
49%
390–395 $
$0 Vol.
50%
>395 $
$0 Vol.
98%
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket's trader consensus reflects acute uncertainty for Tesla (TSLA) week-of-March 30 closing share price, pricing multiple $350-$395 buckets at 48-49.5% implied probabilities amid Friday's close near $362 following a 3% intraday drop to $359. Driving this diffusion is looming Q1 2026 vehicle delivery report—due early April—with analysts slashing estimates on softening EV demand and intensifying BYD competition eroding margins. Broader tech sector headwinds from geopolitical tensions add volatility, while ARK Invest's recent TSLA sales signal waning institutional conviction. Key swing factor: deliveries exceeding whisper numbers could catalyze upside to $390+, versus deeper misses testing $350 support ahead of late-April earnings.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."Polymarket's trader consensus reflects acute uncertainty for Tesla (TSLA) week-of-March 30 closing share price, pricing multiple $350-$395 buckets at 48-49.5% implied probabilities amid Friday's close near $362 following a 3% intraday drop to $359. Driving this diffusion is looming Q1 2026 vehicle delivery report—due early April—with analysts slashing estimates on softening EV demand and intensifying BYD competition eroding margins. Broader tech sector headwinds from geopolitical tensions add volatility, while ARK Invest's recent TSLA sales signal waning institutional conviction. Key swing factor: deliveries exceeding whisper numbers could catalyze upside to $390+, versus deeper misses testing $350 support ahead of late-April earnings.
This market will resolve according to the official closing price for Tesla (TSLA) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Tesla (TSLA) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Apr 3, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 6:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket's trader consensus reflects acute uncertainty for Tesla (TSLA) week-of-March 30 closing share price, pricing multiple $350-$395 buckets at 48-49.5% implied probabilities amid Friday's close near $362 following a 3% intraday drop to $359. Driving this diffusion is looming Q1 2026 vehicle delivery report—due early April—with analysts slashing estimates on softening EV demand and intensifying BYD competition eroding margins. Broader tech sector headwinds from geopolitical tensions add volatility, while ARK Invest's recent TSLA sales signal waning institutional conviction. Key swing factor: deliveries exceeding whisper numbers could catalyze upside to $390+, versus deeper misses testing $350 support ahead of late-April earnings.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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