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Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Market icon

Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?

Harris by 1.6-2.0  100.0%

Trump by 0.5+ <1%

Trump by 0-0.4 <1%

Harris by 0.1-0.5 <1%

Polymarket

$845,714 Vol.

Harris by 1.6-2.0  100.0%

Trump by 0.5+ <1%

Trump by 0-0.4 <1%

Harris by 0.1-0.5 <1%

Polymarket

$845,714 Vol.

Trump by 0.5+

$60,591 Vol.

No

Trump by 0-0.4

$79,667 Vol.

No

Harris by 0.1-0.5

$70,540 Vol.

No

Harris by 0.6-1.0

$75,289 Vol.

No

Harris by 1.1-1.5

$149,946 Vol.

No

Harris by 1.6-2.0

$138,949 Vol.

Yes

Harris by 2.1-2.5

$123,963 Vol.

No

Harris by >2.5

$146,770 Vol.

No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Trump +0.0 (inclusive) and Trump +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +0.1 (inclusive) and Harris +0.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +0.6 (inclusive) and Harris +1.0 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +1.1 (inclusive) and Harris +1.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +1.6 (inclusive) and Harris +2.0 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +2.1 (inclusive) and Harris +2.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Harris by more than +2.5 percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Volumen
$845,714
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2024
Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2024, 5:15 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Trump +0.0 (inclusive) and Trump +0.4 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +0.1 (inclusive) and Harris +0.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +0.6 (inclusive) and Harris +1.0 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +1.1 (inclusive) and Harris +1.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +1.6 (inclusive) and Harris +2.0 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin between Harris +2.1 (inclusive) and Harris +2.5 (inclusive) percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution. This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Harris by more than +2.5 percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market.

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'.

The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET.

Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used.

If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.
Volumen
$845,714
Enddatum
20. Sep. 2024
Markt eröffnet
Sep 10, 2024, 5:15 PM ET
This is a market on the RCP Polling Average margin between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris as of September 20, 2024, 12:00 PM ET. The spread referenced in the first table on the "2024 General Election: Trump vs. Harris" page at https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/trump-vs-harris will be used to resolve this market. This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the RCP Polling Average margin is Trump +0.5 or more percentage points. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The RCP Polling Average will be checked on September 20, 12:00 PM ET. Please note, this market refers specifically to the margin for RCP polling average as presented in the aforementioned chart in the column titled 'Spread'. This includes any adjustments or methodology changes made by RCP in their calculation of the polling average or the date range used. If the RCP Polling Average margin data between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is not available by September 24, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, another credible source of polling data as of September 20, 12:00 PM ET will be used for market resolution.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Trump vs. Harris polling margin Friday?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Harris by 1.6-2.0 " mit 100%, gefolgt von „Trump by 0.5+" mit 0%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 100¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 100% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

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