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# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

Market icon

# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)

220-224 99.9%

205-209 1.6%

210-214 <1%

200-204 <1%

Polymarket

$1,569,895 Vol.

220-224 99.9%

205-209 1.6%

210-214 <1%

200-204 <1%

Polymarket

$1,569,895 Vol.

230+

$247,673 Vol.

No

225-229

$185,404 Vol.

No

220-224

$347,291 Vol.

Yes

215-219

$344,809 Vol.

No

210-214

$117,572 Vol.

No

205-209

$112,829 Vol.

No

200-204

$89,222 Vol.

No

<200

$125,096 Vol.

No

The 2024 United States House elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with all 435 seats in the House being contested.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. House elections fewer than 200 of voting House members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all House elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$1,569,895
Enddatum
Nov 5, 2024
Markt eröffnet
Aug 15, 2024, 5:55 PM ET
The 2024 United States House elections will be held on November 5, 2024, with all 435 seats in the House being contested. This market will resolve to "Yes" if as a result of the 2024 U.S. House elections fewer than 200 of voting House members are Republican. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". ​​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2024 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party that they most recently expressed their intent to caucus with at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all House elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: No

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "220-224" at 100%, followed by "230+" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)" has generated $1.6 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 15, 2024. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)" is "220-224" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "230+" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "# of Republican House seats after Election? (brackets)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.