Preliminary FlightAware data confirming approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed by 15 or more minutes on arrival—within, into, or out of the country—on March 29 has locked trader consensus at 100% for the under-6,000 outcome, reflecting a routine operations day after mid-March storm recoveries. Localized disruptions at LaGuardia Airport and South Florida thunderstorms contributed modestly, alongside just 223 cancellations nationwide, with no major FAA air traffic control issues or widespread weather events reported. This positions the market for near-certain resolution on the low-delay bin, barring rare upward revisions in final Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time performance data or shifts in delay metric definitions like departure versus arrival times.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert6.500-7.000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
27. März 2026
6.500-7.000
<1%
6.500-7.000 <1%
$22,385 Vol.
$22,385 Vol.
27. März 2026
6.500-7.000
$1,574 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data confirming approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed by 15 or more minutes on arrival—within, into, or out of the country—on March 29 has locked trader consensus at 100% for the under-6,000 outcome, reflecting a routine operations day after mid-March storm recoveries. Localized disruptions at LaGuardia Airport and South Florida thunderstorms contributed modestly, alongside just 223 cancellations nationwide, with no major FAA air traffic control issues or widespread weather events reported. This positions the market for near-certain resolution on the low-delay bin, barring rare upward revisions in final Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time performance data or shifts in delay metric definitions like departure versus arrival times.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volumen
$22,385Enddatum
29. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.Preliminary FlightAware data confirming approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed by 15 or more minutes on arrival—within, into, or out of the country—on March 29 has locked trader consensus at 100% for the under-6,000 outcome, reflecting a routine operations day after mid-March storm recoveries. Localized disruptions at LaGuardia Airport and South Florida thunderstorms contributed modestly, alongside just 223 cancellations nationwide, with no major FAA air traffic control issues or widespread weather events reported. This positions the market for near-certain resolution on the low-delay bin, barring rare upward revisions in final Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time performance data or shifts in delay metric definitions like departure versus arrival times.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after March 29, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$22,385Enddatum
29. März 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 27, 2026, 5:42 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterdayResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Einspruchsfrist
Endgültig
Preliminary FlightAware data confirming approximately 5,400 U.S. flights delayed by 15 or more minutes on arrival—within, into, or out of the country—on March 29 has locked trader consensus at 100% for the under-6,000 outcome, reflecting a routine operations day after mid-March storm recoveries. Localized disruptions at LaGuardia Airport and South Florida thunderstorms contributed modestly, alongside just 223 cancellations nationwide, with no major FAA air traffic control issues or widespread weather events reported. This positions the market for near-certain resolution on the low-delay bin, barring rare upward revisions in final Bureau of Transportation Statistics on-time performance data or shifts in delay metric definitions like departure versus arrival times.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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