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Politik·Flughafen

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

Market icon
Politik·Flughafen

Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?

März 29

Apr. 1

März 29

Apr. 1

>5,000 97.0%

3,500-4,000 3.0%

3,000-3,500 <1%

4,000-4,500 <1%

Polymarket

$1,804 Vol.

>5,000 97.0%

3,500-4,000 3.0%

3,000-3,500 <1%

4,000-4,500 <1%

Polymarket

$1,804 Vol.

<2,000

$397 Vol.

<1%

2,000-2,500

$612 Vol.

<1%

2,500-3,000

$163 Vol.

<1%

3,000-3,500

$143 Vol.

1%

3,500-4,000

$170 Vol.

3%

4,000-4,500

$143 Vol.

1%

4,500-5,000

$73 Vol.

1%

>5,000

$106 Vol.

97%

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware data published April 2 reports 5,976 total delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, placing the outcome firmly above 5,000 and driving trader consensus to 97% implied probability. Widespread low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms prompted FAA ground delays and stops at key East Coast hubs including New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Washington-area airports (DCA, IAD, BWI), alongside impacts at Chicago O'Hare (ORD), Atlanta (ATL), and Denver (DEN). High spring break volumes amplified disruptions at these bottlenecks. Final resolution awaits FlightAware's official tally, but significant downward revision is unlikely barring data errors; potential challenges include late adjustments from air traffic control logs or airline reports.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$1,804
Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.FlightAware data published April 2 reports 5,976 total delays for flights within, into, or out of the United States on April 1, placing the outcome firmly above 5,000 and driving trader consensus to 97% implied probability. Widespread low clouds, rain, and thunderstorms prompted FAA ground delays and stops at key East Coast hubs including New York (JFK, LGA, EWR), Philadelphia (PHL), and Washington-area airports (DCA, IAD, BWI), alongside impacts at Chicago O'Hare (ORD), Atlanta (ATL), and Denver (DEN). High spring break volumes amplified disruptions at these bottlenecks. Final resolution awaits FlightAware's official tally, but significant downward revision is unlikely barring data errors; potential challenges include late adjustments from air traffic control logs or airline reports.

This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.
Volumen
$1,804
Enddatum
1. Apr. 2026
Markt eröffnet
Apr 1, 2026, 5:26 PM ET

Abwicklungsquelle

https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve based on the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on FlightAware when it is checked at 12:00 PM ET on the day after April 1, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is https://www.flightaware.com/live/cancelled/yesterday, specifically the "Total delays within, into, or out of the United States yesterday" figure on the "FlightAware.com live flight delay and cancellation statistics for yesterday" table when checked at the specified time. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, or is otherwise unavailable at the resolution time up until 6 PM ET on that date, market will resolve to the lowest available bracket.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 8 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „>5,000" mit 97%, gefolgt von „3,500-4,000" mit 3%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 97¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

„Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" ist ein neu erstellter Markt auf Polymarket, gestartet am Apr 1, 2026. Als früher Markt haben Sie die Gelegenheit, zu den ersten Händlern zu gehören, die die Quoten setzen und die ersten Preissignale des Marktes etablieren. Sie können diese Seite auch als Lesezeichen speichern, um Volumen und Handelsaktivität zu verfolgen, während der Markt an Fahrt gewinnt.

Um auf „Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 8 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" ist „>5,000" mit 97%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 97% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „3,500-4,000" mit 3%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Number of US Flights Delayed April 1?" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.