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Wahlen·Senat

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Market icon
Wahlen·Senat

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 23%

Chuck Schumer 18%

Lindsey Graham 5.5%

Brian Schatz 5%

Polymarket

$29,171 Vol.

John Thune 23%

Chuck Schumer 18%

Lindsey Graham 5.5%

Brian Schatz 5%

Polymarket

$29,171 Vol.

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John Thune

$266 Vol.

30%

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Chuck Schumer

$275 Vol.

18%

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Lindsey Graham

$8,314 Vol.

6%

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Brian Schatz

$347 Vol.

5%

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Cory Booker

$405 Vol.

5%

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John Barrasso

$297 Vol.

5%

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Tom Cotton

$192 Vol.

5%

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Mark Kelly

$629 Vol.

4%

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Steve Daines

$18,011 Vol.

4%

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Patty Murray

$87 Vol.

4%

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Amy Klobuchar

$348 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a tossup for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with related markets pricing Republicans at around 49.5% to retain their 53-seat majority, positioning incumbent Majority Leader John Thune at 29.5% as the frontrunner due to his prior experience as whip and broad establishment support within the GOP caucus. Thune differentiates from challengers like Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally with foreign policy prominence, and Whip John Barrasso through his institutional continuity amid a stable Republican map defending fewer competitive seats. On the Democratic side, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer trails at 17.5% amid recent caucus frustrations over his negotiating style, with reports in the past week of senators quietly discussing ousting him post-election and his 2026 recruits declining to back his leadership—elevating alternatives like Brian Schatz, policy chair, and Cory Booker. Primaries through summer and evolving battleground polls in races like North Carolina could tip momentum and consolidate support behind one contender.

Trader consensus reflects a tossup for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with related markets pricing Republicans at around 49.5% to retain their 53-seat majority, positioning incumbent Majority Leader John Thune at 29.5% as the frontrunner due to his prior experience as whip and broad establishment support within the GOP caucus. Thune differentiates from challengers like Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally with foreign policy prominence, and Whip John Barrasso through his institutional continuity amid a stable Republican map defending fewer competitive seats. On the Democratic side, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer trails at 17.5% amid recent caucus frustrations over his negotiating style, with reports in the past week of senators quietly discussing ousting him post-election and his 2026 recruits declining to back his leadership—elevating alternatives like Brian Schatz, policy chair, and Cory Booker. Primaries through summer and evolving battleground polls in races like North Carolina could tip momentum and consolidate support behind one contender.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Trader consensus reflects a tossup for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with related markets pricing Republicans at around 49.5% to retain their 53-seat majority, positioning incumbent Majority Leader John Thune at 29.5% as the frontrunner due to his prior experience as whip and broad establishment support within the GOP caucus. Thune differentiates from challengers like Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally with foreign policy prominence, and Whip John Barrasso through his institutional continuity amid a stable Republican map defending fewer competitive seats. On the Democratic side, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer trails at 17.5% amid recent caucus frustrations over his negotiating style, with reports in the past week of senators quietly discussing ousting him post-election and his 2026 recruits declining to back his leadership—elevating alternatives like Brian Schatz, policy chair, and Cory Booker. Primaries through summer and evolving battleground polls in races like North Carolina could tip momentum and consolidate support behind one contender.

Trader consensus reflects a tossup for Senate control after the November 2026 midterms, with related markets pricing Republicans at around 49.5% to retain their 53-seat majority, positioning incumbent Majority Leader John Thune at 29.5% as the frontrunner due to his prior experience as whip and broad establishment support within the GOP caucus. Thune differentiates from challengers like Lindsey Graham, a Trump ally with foreign policy prominence, and Whip John Barrasso through his institutional continuity amid a stable Republican map defending fewer competitive seats. On the Democratic side, Minority Leader Chuck Schumer trails at 17.5% amid recent caucus frustrations over his negotiating style, with reports in the past week of senators quietly discussing ousting him post-election and his 2026 recruits declining to back his leadership—elevating alternatives like Brian Schatz, policy chair, and Cory Booker. Primaries through summer and evolving battleground polls in races like North Carolina could tip momentum and consolidate support behind one contender.

Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert

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Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Next Senate Majority Leader?" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 11 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „John Thune" mit 30%, gefolgt von „Chuck Schumer" mit 18%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 30¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Next Senate Majority Leader?" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $29.2K generiert, seit der Markt am Mar 23, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Next Senate Majority Leader?" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 11 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Next Senate Majority Leader?" ist „John Thune" mit 30%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 30% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Chuck Schumer" mit 18%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

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