Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices 35-39 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 10-16 at 100%, reflecting confirmed maritime tracking data from automatic identification system (AIS) feeds and official reports showing steady vessel flows amid routine oil tanker and commercial traffic. This range aligns with recent weekly averages of 30-40 transits, unaffected by Houthi disruptions elsewhere or Iranian naval activities, as no major incidents halted passage. Primary drivers include consistent Persian Gulf export volumes and real-time monitoring by agencies like the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Realistic challenges could arise from data revisions, delayed reporting, or late-discovered unreported vessels, though such shifts remain improbable given the week's closure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertWie viele Schiffe durchfahren diese Woche die Straße von Hormus? (10.-16. März)
Wie viele Schiffe durchfahren diese Woche die Straße von Hormus? (10.-16. März)
35-39 100.0%
<10 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 16, 2026
<10
Nein
10-14
Nein
15-19
Nein
20-24
Nein
25-29
Nein
30-34
Nein
35-39
Ja
40-44
Nein
45+
Nein
35-39 100.0%
<10 <1%
10-14 <1%
15-19 <1%
$0.00 Vol.
$0.00 Vol.
Mar 16, 2026
<10
$0 Vol.
Nein
10-14
$0 Vol.
Nein
15-19
$0 Vol.
Nein
20-24
$0 Vol.
Nein
25-29
$0 Vol.
Nein
30-34
$0 Vol.
Nein
35-39
$0 Vol.
Ja
40-44
$0 Vol.
Nein
45+
$0 Vol.
Nein
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices 35-39 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 10-16 at 100%, reflecting confirmed maritime tracking data from automatic identification system (AIS) feeds and official reports showing steady vessel flows amid routine oil tanker and commercial traffic. This range aligns with recent weekly averages of 30-40 transits, unaffected by Houthi disruptions elsewhere or Iranian naval activities, as no major incidents halted passage. Primary drivers include consistent Persian Gulf export volumes and real-time monitoring by agencies like the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Realistic challenges could arise from data revisions, delayed reporting, or late-discovered unreported vessels, though such shifts remain improbable given the week's closure.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 4:40 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Mar 16, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 9, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices 35-39 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 10-16 at 100%, reflecting confirmed maritime tracking data from automatic identification system (AIS) feeds and official reports showing steady vessel flows amid routine oil tanker and commercial traffic. This range aligns with recent weekly averages of 30-40 transits, unaffected by Houthi disruptions elsewhere or Iranian naval activities, as no major incidents halted passage. Primary drivers include consistent Persian Gulf export volumes and real-time monitoring by agencies like the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Realistic challenges could arise from data revisions, delayed reporting, or late-discovered unreported vessels, though such shifts remain improbable given the week's closure.
This market will resolve according to the total number of transit calls that IMF Portwatch reports for the Strait of Hormuz for all days from March 10, 2026 through March 16, 2026, inclusive.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Transit calls include container, dry bulk, roll-on/roll-off, general cargo, and tanker ships. Ships not reported by IMF Portwatch will not be considered.
This market will resolve as soon as data has been published for the final date in the specified period. If no data has been published for the final date of the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) after the end of that period, this market will resolve based on data published up to that point.
Revisions to previously published data points made within this market’s timeframe will be considered. Revisions to previously published data points after data is published for March 16, 2026, however, will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be IMF Portwatch, specifically the transit calls data published for the Strait of Hormuz at https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730, both in the chart and through downloadable files.
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Mar 16, 2026Markt eröffnet
Mar 9, 2026, 4:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus overwhelmingly prices 35-39 ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz during March 10-16 at 100%, reflecting confirmed maritime tracking data from automatic identification system (AIS) feeds and official reports showing steady vessel flows amid routine oil tanker and commercial traffic. This range aligns with recent weekly averages of 30-40 transits, unaffected by Houthi disruptions elsewhere or Iranian naval activities, as no major incidents halted passage. Primary drivers include consistent Persian Gulf export volumes and real-time monitoring by agencies like the U.S. Energy Information Administration. Realistic challenges could arise from data revisions, delayed reporting, or late-discovered unreported vessels, though such shifts remain improbable given the week's closure.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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