Name: How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?
Start: 2024-02-13T00:40:00Z
End: 2024-02-13T00:00:00Z

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If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City on February 13, 2024 is between 4.5 (inclusive) and 5.5 (exclusive) inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for "TODAY" under "SNOWFALL (IN)" when the "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" for "Central Park NY" is selected under "Observed Weather" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole day of February 13, 2024.

4.5-5.5

If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City on February 13, 2024 is between 3.5 (inclusive) and 4.5 (exclusive) inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for "TODAY" under "SNOWFALL (IN)" when the "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" for "Central Park NY" is selected under "Observed Weather" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole day of February 13, 2024.

3.5-4.5

If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City on February 13, 2024 is less than 3.5 inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for "TODAY" under "SNOWFALL (IN)" when the "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" for "Central Park NY" is selected under "Observed Weather" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole day of February 13, 2024.

<3.5

If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City on February 13, 2024 is between 6.5 (inclusive) and 7.5 (inclusive) inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for "TODAY" under "SNOWFALL (IN)" when the "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" for "Central Park NY" is selected under "Observed Weather" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole day of February 13, 2024.

6.5-7.5

If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City on February 13, 2024 is between 5.5 (inclusive) and 6.5 (exclusive) inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for "TODAY" under "SNOWFALL (IN)" when the "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" for "Central Park NY" is selected under "Observed Weather" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole day of February 13, 2024.

5.5-6.5

If the total snowfall in Central Park, New York City on February 13, 2024 is more than 7.5 inches according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), then this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be NOAA, specifically the figure for "TODAY" under "SNOWFALL (IN)" when the "Daily Climate Report (CLI)" for "Central Park NY" is selected under "Observed Weather" at the https://www.weather.gov/wrh/climate?wfo=okx link once that figure is finalized for the whole day of February 13, 2024.

>7.5

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani ceases to be the mayor of New York City for any period of time between taking office and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If Zohran Mamdani does not take office as the 111th Mayor of New York City, succeeding Eric Adams, as currently scheduled for January 1, 2026, by February 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “Yes.”

An announcement of Zohran Mamdani's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Zohran Mamdani, his representatives, or the Office of the Mayor of New York City; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.

Zohran Mamdani nicht mehr Bürgermeister von NYC vor 2027?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:

1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.

2. The New York City Rent Guidelines Board implements rent adjustments at 0.0 % for both one-year and two-year renewal leases for rent-stabilized apartments citywide by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The policy will be considered implemented only if a 0.0 % increases for both one-year and two-year renewal leases is in effect by the resolution date. An announced intention or proposed order not yet effective will not qualify. Orders that are blocked, enjoined, or otherwise prevented from taking effect by the deadline will not qualify.

If the policy is enacted through another official mechanism, including but not limited to a mayoral executive order, local legislation, or state law, and goes into effect by the resolution date it will qualify.

Orders that apply only to one lease term (e.g., 0 % on one-year but > 0 % on two-year), apply only to specific unit types (e.g., hotels or SROs), or relate to non-stabilized units will not qualify. Policies which include limited exceptions — such as exclusions for specific categories of rent-stabilized units (e.g., hardship exemptions, temporarily exempt buildings, or administrative carveouts) — will still qualify as long as a general policy of 0 % rent adjustment for both one-year and two-year renewal leases on rent-stabilized apartments and lofts is in effect citywide.

If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting and official Rent Guidelines Board materials.

Wird Mamdani die Mieten in NYC vor 2027 einfrieren?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 2026 US Midterm Elections happen on November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Werden die Zwischenwahlen 2026 wie geplant stattfinden?

Zohran Mamdani has proposed raising New York City's minimum wage to $30 an hour by 2030. You can read more about that here: https://www.cityandstateny.com/policy/2025/02/mamdani-unveils-30-30-minimum-wage-push-part-mayoral-campaign/403015/?oref=csny-homepage-top-story

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:

1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.

2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a minimum wage of at least $30 an hour, effective by December 31, 2030, or earlier. 

The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated minimum wage into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.

The enactment of a policy that initiates a structured increase of the minimum wage to at least $30 an hour in NYC over the course of several years will qualify for an immediate "Yes" resolution, so long as that policy explicitly outlines it will achieve that level by the stated date.

Enactment of limited or temporary pilots which are not formally intended for citywide expansion (e.g., policies that explicitly cover only select boroughs, neighborhoods, or time periods) will not count.

Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for restaurant workers, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general policy of a $30 per hour minimum wage in New York City by 2030 is enacted.

If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Wird Mamdani den Mindestlohn vor 2027 auf 30 Dollar erhöhen?

This market will resolve to “Yes”  if both the following occur: 

1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election. 

2. The New York City Metropolitan Transportation Authority implements a policy under which the base local fare for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes operating within New York City (New York City Transit and MTA Bus Company) is $0 by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. 

The policy will be considered to have been implemented if it is actively in effect by the resolution date. The enactment of a policy without its implementation will not alone qualify. Policies which are blocked by legal or other means before they go into effect will similarly not qualify.  

Limited pilots (e.g., a subset of routes or specific days), temporary “fare holidays,” or targeted free-fare programs (e.g., only youth, seniors, or low-income riders) do not qualify.

Policies which include limited exceptions such as express-bus fares, fares on specific lines (such as Airport lines) or other exclusions will still qualify as long as a general policy of $0 fare  for regularly scheduled MTA bus routes is in effect. 

If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.  

Wird Mamdani die Busse in NYC bis zum 31. März kostenlos machen?

Zohran Mamdani has proposed creating city owned grocery stores to combat rising prices (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2024/12/12/nyregion/grocery-stores-city-owned.html).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:

1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.

2. The City of New York implements a policy under which at least one grocery store that is city-owned and operated is actively open to the public by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

The policy will be considered to have been implemented if at least one such store is open for regular grocery retail sales to the public by the resolution date. The enactment or announcement of a policy without an operational, open store will not alone qualify. Policies that are blocked, cancelled, or not yet in effect by the resolution date will similarly not qualify.

Limited pilots, studies, planning initiatives, or temporary pop-up markets which don’t regularly operate as regular grocery stores do not qualify.

Partnerships which include partial city ownership will qualify as long as the store is substantively under City of New York control. Partnerships with non-profit or other operators which don’t include direct city ownership of the store will not qualify. 

Only stores that are initiated, approved, or opened during Zohran Mamdani’s mayoralty and that are described in credible reporting or official City communications as part of the “city-owned grocery store” initiative associated with his campaign platform will qualify. Grocery stores created by previous or subsequent administrations, or any other government-run or subsidized retail programs that are not reasonably attributable to the Mamdani administration’s city-owned grocery store policy, will not qualify.

If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, this market will immediately resolve to “No.”

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Mamdani eröffnet bis zum 30. Juni ein städtisches Lebensmittelgeschäft?

Zohran Mamdani has proposed adding a flat 2% tax on New York City residents earning above $1,000,000 annually. You can read more about that here: https://drive.google.com/file/d/14-aM9DKG337SDMilmfQtLRR-pDwyWSTc/view

This market will resolve to “Yes” if both the following occur:

1. Zohran Mamdani wins the 2025 NYC Mayoral election.

2. A policy is enacted in New York City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, which would establish a tax increase of 2% or more targeting individuals, households, or family units with an income of at least $1 million (USD or equivalent).

When the proposed tax goes into effect (e.g., if a qualifying tax is enacted for the 2028 fiscal year) will have no bearing on this market's resolution, so long as the policy has actually been enacted within this market's timeframe.

The policy will be considered to have been enacted if a local or state law is passed, or mayoral executive order is issued which will bring the stated tax into effect within the specified timeframe. The introduction, proposal, or announcement of such a policy without legal enactment will not qualify.

Policies which include limited exceptions—such as such as exceptions for specific families, asset classes, etc.—will still qualify as long as a general tax as described is enacted.

If Mamdani is confirmed to have lost the 2025 NYC Mayoral election by a consensus of credible reporting, or if the stated terms are not satisfied within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Wird Mamdani die 2%-Millionärssteuer vor 2027 verabschieden?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 9, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Wird Joe Baldacci der demokratische Kandidat für ME-02 sein?

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Wird Benoît Payan die Bürgermeisterwahl in Marseille gewinnen?

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm New Jersey U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

<3.5
$2,554 Umsatz
Yes

3.5-4.5
$1,708 Umsatz
No

4.5-5.5
$3,910 Umsatz
No

5.5-6.5
$5,865 Umsatz
No

6.5-7.5
$3,410 Umsatz
No

>7.5
$254 Umsatz
No

Marktkontext

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

Regeln

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

Marktkontext

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

Über

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

<3.5$2,554 UmsatzYes

3.5-4.5$1,708 UmsatzNo

4.5-5.5$3,910 UmsatzNo

5.5-6.5$5,865 UmsatzNo

6.5-7.5$3,410 UmsatzNo

>7.5$254 UmsatzNo

Marktkontext

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

Regeln

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

Marktkontext

How many inches of snow in NYC on Tuesday?

Über

<3.5
$2,554 Umsatz
Yes

3.5-4.5
$1,708 Umsatz
No

4.5-5.5
$3,910 Umsatz
No

5.5-6.5
$5,865 Umsatz
No

6.5-7.5
$3,410 Umsatz
No

>7.5
$254 Umsatz
No