Official IMGW-PIB observations and Warsaw Chopin Airport records confirm the highest temperature on April 14, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and frontal systems limiting solar heating. Preceding forecasts from IMGW and ECMWF models accurately projected maxima of 14–16°C, aligning with climatological norms for mid-April in Warsaw (historical average high ~14°C) and current atmospheric patterns featuring a cool air mass over Central Europe. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of ground-truth measurements, with negligible volume on alternatives. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked station reports, though IMGW synoptic data finalization minimizes such risks; monitor for any late archival updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Warsaw on April 14?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 14?
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$92,868 Vol.
$92,868 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
15°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$92,868 Vol.
$92,868 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
Yes
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 12, 2026, 12:49 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official IMGW-PIB observations and Warsaw Chopin Airport records confirm the highest temperature on April 14, 2026, peaked at 15°C amid persistent cloud cover, light southerly winds, and frontal systems limiting solar heating. Preceding forecasts from IMGW and ECMWF models accurately projected maxima of 14–16°C, aligning with climatological norms for mid-April in Warsaw (historical average high ~14°C) and current atmospheric patterns featuring a cool air mass over Central Europe. Trader consensus at 100% implied probability reflects this skin-in-the-game validation of ground-truth measurements, with negligible volume on alternatives. Realistic challenges would require verified data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked station reports, though IMGW synoptic data finalization minimizes such risks; monitor for any late archival updates.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen