Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 54-55°F in Seattle on April 16, backed by official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), which recorded a peak of 55°F around late afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus from NOAA and NWS predicting a modest daytime high near 55°F amid a cool Pacific marine air mass, morning lows of 36-37°F under frost advisories, and light southerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of about 58°F. While final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could prompt minor revisions, such changes are exceedingly rare for routine observations, solidifying the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Seattle am 16. April?
Höchste Temperatur in Seattle am 16. April?
54-55°F 100.0%
41°F oder darunter <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$127,505 Vol.
$127,505 Vol.
41°F oder darunter
Nein
42-43°F
Nein
44-45°F
Nein
46-47°F
Nein
48-49°F
Nein
50-51°F
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Ja
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60°F oder höher
Nein
54-55°F 100.0%
41°F oder darunter <1%
42-43°F <1%
44-45°F <1%
$127,505 Vol.
$127,505 Vol.
41°F oder darunter
Nein
42-43°F
Nein
44-45°F
Nein
46-47°F
Nein
48-49°F
Nein
50-51°F
Nein
52-53°F
Nein
54-55°F
Ja
56-57°F
Nein
58-59°F
Nein
60°F oder höher
Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns 100% implied probability to a highest temperature of 54-55°F in Seattle on April 16, backed by official National Weather Service observations from the Automated Surface Observing System at Seattle-Tacoma International Airport (KSEA), which recorded a peak of 55°F around late afternoon under partly cloudy skies. This positioning stems from forecast model consensus from NOAA and NWS predicting a modest daytime high near 55°F amid a cool Pacific marine air mass, morning lows of 36-37°F under frost advisories, and light southerly winds capping warming below April climatological norms of about 58°F. While final quality-controlled data from the National Centers for Environmental Information could prompt minor revisions, such changes are exceedingly rare for routine observations, solidifying the outcome.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen