Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's standard reference station, recorded a maximum temperature of 54°F on April 12, 2026, under clear skies with calm winds and low humidity, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 54-55°F outcome. This cool-down followed an unusually warm early April pattern—including an 80°F record on April 1—but aligned with the latest NOAA forecast model runs showing mid-50s highs amid persistent northerly flow and high pressure dominance. Pre-event positioning reflected this strong model agreement and historical April baselines around 60°F, with minimal upside risk from weak solar heating. Final data validation is pending minor NWS adjustments, though revisions exceeding 1°F are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in NYC on April 12?
Highest temperature in NYC on April 12?
54-55°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$299,189 Vol.
$299,189 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
47°F or below
No
48-49°F
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
Yes
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66°F or higher
No
54-55°F 100.0%
47°F or below <1%
48-49°F <1%
50-51°F <1%
$299,189 Vol.
$299,189 Vol.
12. Apr. 2026
47°F or below
$80,190 Vol.
No
48-49°F
$4,132 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$9,170 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$68,808 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$29,089 Vol.
Yes
56-57°F
$21,972 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$25,061 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$15,416 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$24,293 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$8,424 Vol.
No
66°F or higher
$12,633 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's standard reference station, recorded a maximum temperature of 54°F on April 12, 2026, under clear skies with calm winds and low humidity, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 54-55°F outcome. This cool-down followed an unusually warm early April pattern—including an 80°F record on April 1—but aligned with the latest NOAA forecast model runs showing mid-50s highs amid persistent northerly flow and high pressure dominance. Pre-event positioning reflected this strong model agreement and historical April baselines around 60°F, with minimal upside risk from weak solar heating. Final data validation is pending minor NWS adjustments, though revisions exceeding 1°F are exceedingly rare for established stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$299,189Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's standard reference station, recorded a maximum temperature of 54°F on April 12, 2026, under clear skies with calm winds and low humidity, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 54-55°F outcome. This cool-down followed an unusually warm early April pattern—including an 80°F record on April 1—but aligned with the latest NOAA forecast model runs showing mid-50s highs amid persistent northerly flow and high pressure dominance. Pre-event positioning reflected this strong model agreement and historical April baselines around 60°F, with minimal upside risk from weak solar heating. Final data validation is pending minor NWS adjustments, though revisions exceeding 1°F are exceedingly rare for established stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$299,189Enddatum
12. Apr. 2026Markt eröffnet
Apr 8, 2026, 12:08 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official National Weather Service observations from Central Park, New York City's standard reference station, recorded a maximum temperature of 54°F on April 12, 2026, under clear skies with calm winds and low humidity, solidifying trader consensus at 100% implied probability for the 54-55°F outcome. This cool-down followed an unusually warm early April pattern—including an 80°F record on April 1—but aligned with the latest NOAA forecast model runs showing mid-50s highs amid persistent northerly flow and high pressure dominance. Pre-event positioning reflected this strong model agreement and historical April baselines around 60°F, with minimal upside risk from weak solar heating. Final data validation is pending minor NWS adjustments, though revisions exceeding 1°F are exceedingly rare for established stations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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