Official temperature records from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated by the German Weather Service, confirm a daily maximum of 26°C on May 28 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting the resolution of all trader positions based on verified observational data rather than forecasts. Late-May climatological averages near 22–25°C, combined with clear skies and modest daytime heating, supported this peak without significant deviations from ensemble model guidance. Minor revisions to station data remain theoretically possible but are rare once finalized, leaving little scope for alternative thresholds to gain traction.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Munich on May 28?
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$79,182 Vol.
$79,182 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$79,182 Vol.
$79,182 Vol.
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Official temperature records from Munich's primary weather stations, including those operated by the German Weather Service, confirm a daily maximum of 26°C on May 28 under stable high-pressure conditions and light southerly flow. This aligns precisely with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome, reflecting the resolution of all trader positions based on verified observational data rather than forecasts. Late-May climatological averages near 22–25°C, combined with clear skies and modest daytime heating, supported this peak without significant deviations from ensemble model guidance. Minor revisions to station data remain theoretically possible but are rare once finalized, leaving little scope for alternative thresholds to gain traction.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert

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