Market icon

Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?

Ended: Mar 31

17. Februar 100.0%

Vor dem 15. Februar veröffentlicht <1%

15. Februar <1%

16. Februar <1%

Polymarket

$662,720 Vol.

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$662,720
Enddatum
Mar 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Feb 9, 2026, 6:57 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "Released before February 15" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public before February 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "No release by March 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 47+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17. Februar" at 100%, followed by "Vor dem 15. Februar veröffentlicht" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" has generated $662.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?," browse the 47+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" is "17. Februar" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vor dem 15. Februar veröffentlicht" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.
Market icon

Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?

Ended: Mar 31

17. Februar 100.0%

Vor dem 15. Februar veröffentlicht <1%

15. Februar <1%

16. Februar <1%

Polymarket

$662,720 Vol.

Vor dem 15. Februar veröffentlicht

$2,977 Vol.

Nein

15. Februar

$17,397 Vol.

Nein

16. Februar

$26,736 Vol.

Nein

17. Februar

$339,317 Vol.

Ja

18. Februar

$15,487 Vol.

Nein

19. Februar

$17,720 Vol.

Nein

20. Februar

$14,583 Vol.

Nein

21. Februar

$14,129 Vol.

Nein

22. Februar

$13,241 Vol.

Nein

23. Februar

$17,374 Vol.

Nein

24. Februar

$16,247 Vol.

Nein

25. Februar

$18,194 Vol.

Nein

26. Februar

$20,379 Vol.

Nein

27. Februar

$18,113 Vol.

Nein

28. Februar

$10,062 Vol.

Nein

1. März

$12,480 Vol.

Nein

2. März

$5,631 Vol.

Nein

3. März

$3,468 Vol.

Nein

4. März

$3,391 Vol.

Nein

5. März

$3,883 Vol.

Nein

6. März

$2,247 Vol.

Nein

7. März

$3,054 Vol.

Nein

8. März

$3,505 Vol.

Nein

9. März

$3,902 Vol.

Nein

10. März

$3,203 Vol.

Nein

11. März

$1,641 Vol.

Nein

12. März

$4,654 Vol.

Nein

13. März

$1,255 Vol.

Nein

14. März

$2,200 Vol.

Nein

15. März

$3,032 Vol.

Nein

16. März

$1,015 Vol.

Nein

17. März

$3,878 Vol.

Nein

18. März

$2,291 Vol.

Nein

19. März

$1,515 Vol.

Nein

20. März

$2,805 Vol.

Nein

21. März

$1,761 Vol.

Nein

22. März

$2,557 Vol.

Nein

23. März

$3,561 Vol.

Nein

24. März

$1,860 Vol.

Nein

25. März

$2,042 Vol.

Nein

26. März

$1,807 Vol.

Nein

27. März

$2,304 Vol.

Nein

28. März

$1,224 Vol.

Nein

29. März

$2,135 Vol.

Nein

30. März

$2,111 Vol.

Nein

31. März

$2,294 Vol.

Nein

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. März

$8,062 Vol.

Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 47+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "17. Februar" at 100%, followed by "Vor dem 15. Februar veröffentlicht" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" has generated $662.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 10, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?," browse the 47+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" is "17. Februar" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Vor dem 15. Februar veröffentlicht" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.