Market icon

Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?

Market icon

Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?

Ended: Jan 31

Ended: Jan 31

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. Januar 100.0%

29. Dezember <1%

30. Dezember <1%

31. Dezember <1%

Polymarket

$786,219 Vol.

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. Januar 100.0%

29. Dezember <1%

30. Dezember <1%

31. Dezember <1%

Polymarket

$786,219 Vol.

29. Dezember

$320 Vol.

Nein

30. Dezember

$7,929 Vol.

Nein

31. Dezember

$3,899 Vol.

Nein

1. Januar

$8,456 Vol.

Nein

2. Januar

$3,884 Vol.

Nein

3. Januar

$9,975 Vol.

Nein

4. Januar

$14,876 Vol.

Nein

5. Januar

$16,336 Vol.

Nein

6. Januar

$5,381 Vol.

Nein

7. Januar

$15,979 Vol.

Nein

8. Januar

$14,798 Vol.

Nein

9. Januar

$5,332 Vol.

Nein

10. Januar

$17,240 Vol.

Nein

11. Januar

$12,313 Vol.

Nein

12. Januar

$12,256 Vol.

Nein

13. Januar

$5,212 Vol.

Nein

14. Januar

$2,675 Vol.

Nein

15. Januar

$9,576 Vol.

Nein

16. Januar

$13,610 Vol.

Nein

17. Januar

$17,451 Vol.

Nein

18. Januar

$19,157 Vol.

Nein

19. Januar

$22,871 Vol.

Nein

20. Januar

$33,013 Vol.

Nein

21. Januar

$43,597 Vol.

Nein

22. Januar

$30,696 Vol.

Nein

23. Januar

$40,103 Vol.

Nein

24. Januar

$26,185 Vol.

Nein

25. Januar

$21,300 Vol.

Nein

26. Januar

$44,405 Vol.

Nein

27. Januar

$46,720 Vol.

Nein

28. Januar

$42,973 Vol.

Nein

29. Januar

$34,048 Vol.

Nein

30. Januar

$45,980 Vol.

Nein

31. Januar

$31,549 Vol.

Nein

Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. Januar

$106,124 Vol.

Ja

This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public.

This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.

Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$786,219
Enddatum
Jan 31, 2026
Erstellt am
Dec 29, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
This market will resolve according to the date (ET) when xAI's Grok 4.20 model is made available to the general public. This market will resolve to "No release by January 31" if xAI's Grok 4.20 model is not made available to the general public by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. To qualify, Grok 4.20 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public. Grok 4.20 refers to a product explicitly named Grok 4.20, or one that is recognized as a successor to Grok 4.1, similar to the progression from Grok 4 to Grok 4.1. Products labeled as Grok 4.12 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: Nein

Kein Einspruch

Endgültiges Ergebnis: Nein

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. Januar" at 100%, followed by "29. Dezember" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" has generated $786.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 29, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" is "Keine Veröffentlichung bis zum 31. Januar" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "29. Dezember" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Grok 4.20 freigegeben am...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.