Trader consensus reflects a nail-biter in Florida's 13th Congressional District House race, with Republicans at 49.5% slightly ahead of Democrats at 45.5%, diverging from Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating for this R+5 Pinellas County battleground. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna boasts superior fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late 2025, yet Democratic primary contenders—led by Earle Ford, who self-reported $500,000 raised from 16,000 unique donors by March 2—have fueled competitiveness, corroborated by Ford's internal polling showing a race within 3 points. The DCCC's targeting as Florida's top pickup amplifies challenger viability amid recent Democratic overperformance in state special elections. Separation could hinge on the August 18 primaries consolidating a strong nominee, midterm turnout dynamics, and local issues like affordability in St. Petersburg and Clearwater.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertFL-13 Wahlsieger
FL-13 Wahlsieger
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republikanische Partei
73%
Demokratische Partei
28%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republikanische Partei
$0 Vol.
73%
Demokratische Partei
$0 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus reflects a nail-biter in Florida's 13th Congressional District House race, with Republicans at 49.5% slightly ahead of Democrats at 45.5%, diverging from Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating for this R+5 Pinellas County battleground. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna boasts superior fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late 2025, yet Democratic primary contenders—led by Earle Ford, who self-reported $500,000 raised from 16,000 unique donors by March 2—have fueled competitiveness, corroborated by Ford's internal polling showing a race within 3 points. The DCCC's targeting as Florida's top pickup amplifies challenger viability amid recent Democratic overperformance in state special elections. Separation could hinge on the August 18 primaries consolidating a strong nominee, midterm turnout dynamics, and local issues like affordability in St. Petersburg and Clearwater.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Markt eröffnet: Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus reflects a nail-biter in Florida's 13th Congressional District House race, with Republicans at 49.5% slightly ahead of Democrats at 45.5%, diverging from Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating for this R+5 Pinellas County battleground. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna boasts superior fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late 2025, yet Democratic primary contenders—led by Earle Ford, who self-reported $500,000 raised from 16,000 unique donors by March 2—have fueled competitiveness, corroborated by Ford's internal polling showing a race within 3 points. The DCCC's targeting as Florida's top pickup amplifies challenger viability amid recent Democratic overperformance in state special elections. Separation could hinge on the August 18 primaries consolidating a strong nominee, midterm turnout dynamics, and local issues like affordability in St. Petersburg and Clearwater.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
Nov 4, 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 16, 2025, 11:52 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus reflects a nail-biter in Florida's 13th Congressional District House race, with Republicans at 49.5% slightly ahead of Democrats at 45.5%, diverging from Cook Political Report's Likely Republican rating for this R+5 Pinellas County battleground. Incumbent Anna Paulina Luna boasts superior fundraising with over $1 million cash on hand as of late 2025, yet Democratic primary contenders—led by Earle Ford, who self-reported $500,000 raised from 16,000 unique donors by March 2—have fueled competitiveness, corroborated by Ford's internal polling showing a race within 3 points. The DCCC's targeting as Florida's top pickup amplifies challenger viability amid recent Democratic overperformance in state special elections. Separation could hinge on the August 18 primaries consolidating a strong nominee, midterm turnout dynamics, and local issues like affordability in St. Petersburg and Clearwater.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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