France enters FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability, bolstered by their world No. 1 ranking, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, and strong recent form in UEFA qualifiers and Nations League. Norway holds second at 20% thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, despite defensive vulnerabilities exposed in March friendlies. Senegal sits at 9% on the strength of Sadio Mané and a resilient AFCON campaign, though inconsistent away results temper expectations. Iraq's dramatic 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on April 1—securing their first appearance in 40 years—finalized the group, lumping the underdogs at 2.4% as minimal threats in a matchup-heavy group where top two advance from the round of 48.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertFrankreich 71%
Norwegen 20%
Senegal 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%
$84,329 Vol.
$84,329 Vol.
27. Juni 2026
Frankreich
71%
Norwegen
20%
Senegal
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
2%
Frankreich 71%
Norwegen 20%
Senegal 9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR 2.4%
$84,329 Vol.
$84,329 Vol.
27. Juni 2026
Frankreich
$24,197 Vol.
71%
Norwegen
$8,873 Vol.
20%
Senegal
$11,124 Vol.
9%
BOL/IRQ/SUR
$40,135 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France enters FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability, bolstered by their world No. 1 ranking, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, and strong recent form in UEFA qualifiers and Nations League. Norway holds second at 20% thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, despite defensive vulnerabilities exposed in March friendlies. Senegal sits at 9% on the strength of Sadio Mané and a resilient AFCON campaign, though inconsistent away results temper expectations. Iraq's dramatic 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on April 1—securing their first appearance in 40 years—finalized the group, lumping the underdogs at 2.4% as minimal threats in a matchup-heavy group where top two advance from the round of 48.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ET
Volumen
$84,329Enddatum
27. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France enters FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability, bolstered by their world No. 1 ranking, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, and strong recent form in UEFA qualifiers and Nations League. Norway holds second at 20% thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, despite defensive vulnerabilities exposed in March friendlies. Senegal sits at 9% on the strength of Sadio Mané and a resilient AFCON campaign, though inconsistent away results temper expectations. Iraq's dramatic 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on April 1—securing their first appearance in 40 years—finalized the group, lumping the underdogs at 2.4% as minimal threats in a matchup-heavy group where top two advance from the round of 48.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$84,329Enddatum
27. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Dec 5, 2025, 7:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...France enters FIFA World Cup 2026 Group I as the clear trader consensus favorite at 70.5% implied probability, bolstered by their world No. 1 ranking, deep squad featuring Kylian Mbappé, and strong recent form in UEFA qualifiers and Nations League. Norway holds second at 20% thanks to Erling Haaland's goal-scoring prowess and Martin Ødegaard's creativity, despite defensive vulnerabilities exposed in March friendlies. Senegal sits at 9% on the strength of Sadio Mané and a resilient AFCON campaign, though inconsistent away results temper expectations. Iraq's dramatic 2-1 playoff victory over Bolivia on April 1—securing their first appearance in 40 years—finalized the group, lumping the underdogs at 2.4% as minimal threats in a matchup-heavy group where top two advance from the round of 48.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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