Trader consensus prices Netherlands at 54% implied probability to top Group F—comprising Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia—driven by their superior FIFA ranking, squad depth, and unbeaten March friendlies, including a 2-1 comeback over Norway under Ronald Koeman, despite monitoring a minor muscle strain for Memphis Depay. Japan's 29% share reflects consistent tactical discipline and strong Asian warm-up results, with Takefusa Kubo fully fit, positioning them as viable challengers in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus best thirds advance from the group stage. Sweden's recent UEFA playoff upset victory over Poland on April 1 secured their spot, earning the ALB/POL/SWE/UKR outcome 14.5% as traders weigh their momentum against Tunisia's defensive resilience but lower firepower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertNiederlande 54%
Japan 29%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 15%
Tunesien 3.5%
$53,960 Vol.
$53,960 Vol.
Niederlande
54%
Japan
29%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
15%
Tunesien
4%
Niederlande 54%
Japan 29%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR 15%
Tunesien 3.5%
$53,960 Vol.
$53,960 Vol.
Niederlande
54%
Japan
29%
ALB/POL/SWE/UKR
15%
Tunesien
4%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Netherlands at 54% implied probability to top Group F—comprising Netherlands, Japan, Sweden, and Tunisia—driven by their superior FIFA ranking, squad depth, and unbeaten March friendlies, including a 2-1 comeback over Norway under Ronald Koeman, despite monitoring a minor muscle strain for Memphis Depay. Japan's 29% share reflects consistent tactical discipline and strong Asian warm-up results, with Takefusa Kubo fully fit, positioning them as viable challengers in the expanded 48-team format where top two plus best thirds advance from the group stage. Sweden's recent UEFA playoff upset victory over Poland on April 1 secured their spot, earning the ALB/POL/SWE/UKR outcome 14.5% as traders weigh their momentum against Tunisia's defensive resilience but lower firepower.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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