Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" leads at 35.9% implied probability after their commanding UMK win on February 28, securing top jury scores and massive televote energy that has ignited fan polls, Spotify streams, and bookie consensus for broad appeal in Vienna. France's 17-year-old Monroe follows at 14.3%, favored for jury votes with the emotive French-language "Regarde!" unveiled March 6, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's heartfelt "Før vi går hjem," selected via Dansk Melodi Grand Prix on February 14, holds 10% on strong national final momentum. With all 35 entries released and pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert underway, trader sentiment weighs streaming data and diaspora potential against jury-televote divides in this wide-open field six weeks from the May 16 final.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision-Gewinner 2026
Eurovision-Gewinner 2026
Finnland 35.9%
Frankreich 14.3%
Dänemark 10.0%
Australien 6.6%
$54,923,538 Vol.
$54,923,538 Vol.

Finnland
36%

Frankreich
14%

Dänemark
10%

Australien
7%

Griechenland
6%

Israel
4%

Schweden
3%

Ukraine
3%

Italien
2%

Rumänien
2%

Tschechien
1%

Zypern
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgarien
1%

Deutschland
1%

Luxemburg
1%

Kroatien
1%

Belgien
1%

Moldawien
1%

Norwegen
1%

Schweiz
1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
1%

Litauen
1%

Albanien
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettland
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Armenien
<1%

Aserbaidschan
<1%

Georgien
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Polen
<1%

Serbien
<1%

Portugal
<1%
Finnland 35.9%
Frankreich 14.3%
Dänemark 10.0%
Australien 6.6%
$54,923,538 Vol.
$54,923,538 Vol.

Finnland
36%

Frankreich
14%

Dänemark
10%

Australien
7%

Griechenland
6%

Israel
4%

Schweden
3%

Ukraine
3%

Italien
2%

Rumänien
2%

Tschechien
1%

Zypern
1%

Malta
1%

Bulgarien
1%

Deutschland
1%

Luxemburg
1%

Kroatien
1%

Belgien
1%

Moldawien
1%

Norwegen
1%

Schweiz
1%

Vereinigtes Königreich
1%

Litauen
1%

Albanien
<1%

Österreich
<1%

Estonia
<1%

Lettland
<1%

San Marino
<1%

Armenien
<1%

Aserbaidschan
<1%

Georgien
<1%

Montenegro
<1%

Polen
<1%

Serbien
<1%

Portugal
<1%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Dec 5, 2025, 7:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Finland's duo Linda Lampenius and Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" leads at 35.9% implied probability after their commanding UMK win on February 28, securing top jury scores and massive televote energy that has ignited fan polls, Spotify streams, and bookie consensus for broad appeal in Vienna. France's 17-year-old Monroe follows at 14.3%, favored for jury votes with the emotive French-language "Regarde!" unveiled March 6, while Denmark's Søren Torpegaard Lund's heartfelt "Før vi går hjem," selected via Dansk Melodi Grand Prix on February 14, holds 10% on strong national final momentum. With all 35 entries released and pre-parties like Eurovision in Concert underway, trader sentiment weighs streaming data and diaspora potential against jury-televote divides in this wide-open field six weeks from the May 16 final.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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