Vienna hosts Eurovision 2026 at Wiener Stadthalle, with Semi-Final 1 on May 12 determining 10 qualifiers for the May 16 Grand Final from a field of 15 nations including Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and returns like Estonia's Vanilla Ninja ("Too Epic To Be True") and San Marino's Senhit ("Superstar"). National selections wrapped in mid-March, sparking fan reactions and early previews that shape trader consensus on staging potential and televote appeal. Running order drops April 2, a key catalyst before rehearsals; historical qualification strengths favor Nordics and Israel amid jury-televote dynamics and geopolitical boycotts sidelining five nations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · AktualisiertEurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale
Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale
$363,695 Vol.

Schweden
98%

Griechenland
95%

Finnland
94%

Israel
89%

Moldau
82%

Kroatien
82%

Serbien
68%

Litauen
66%

Polen
56%

Montenegro
55%

Belgien
50%

Georgien
47%

Portugal
32%

Estland
21%

San Marino
16%
$363,695 Vol.

Schweden
98%

Griechenland
95%

Finnland
94%

Israel
89%

Moldau
82%

Kroatien
82%

Serbien
68%

Litauen
66%

Polen
56%

Montenegro
55%

Belgien
50%

Georgien
47%

Portugal
32%

Estland
21%

San Marino
16%
If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Markt eröffnet: Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Vienna hosts Eurovision 2026 at Wiener Stadthalle, with Semi-Final 1 on May 12 determining 10 qualifiers for the May 16 Grand Final from a field of 15 nations including Sweden's Felicia ("My System"), Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen ("Liekinheitin"), Israel's Noam Bettan ("Michelle"), Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), and returns like Estonia's Vanilla Ninja ("Too Epic To Be True") and San Marino's Senhit ("Superstar"). National selections wrapped in mid-March, sparking fan reactions and early previews that shape trader consensus on staging potential and televote appeal. Running order drops April 2, a key catalyst before rehearsals; historical qualification strengths favor Nordics and Israel amid jury-televote dynamics and geopolitical boycotts sidelining five nations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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