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Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale

Market icon

Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale

$410,415 Vol.

12. Mai 2026
Polymarket

$410,415 Vol.

Polymarket
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Finnland

$326,452 Vol.

96%

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Schweden

$1,255 Vol.

94%

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Griechenland

$3,967 Vol.

94%

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Israel

$19,519 Vol.

88%

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Moldau

$1,426 Vol.

82%

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Kroatien

$2,256 Vol.

82%

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Serbien

$837 Vol.

66%

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Litauen

$2,309 Vol.

65%

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Polen

$7,153 Vol.

54%

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Belgien

$6,160 Vol.

50%

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Montenegro

$1,414 Vol.

57%

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Georgien

$166 Vol.

45%

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Portugal

$30,880 Vol.

32%

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Estland

$1,574 Vol.

20%

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San Marino

$5,045 Vol.

16%

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up by mid-March, trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the frontrunner to lead the First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, implying strong probabilities from the duo's dominant televote win and upbeat pop-rock appeal amid Nordic voting patterns. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Israel, Sweden, and Croatia follow closely in bookie odds, buoyed by diaspora support and genre fit, while the 15 entrants—including Big 5 Germany and Italy—vie for 10 qualifying spots via combined jury and public votes. Recent odds releases on March 29 highlighted these dynamics post-national finals; upcoming Eurovision in Concert on April 11 will preview stagings, potentially swaying sentiment before May rehearsals, though live delivery and voting blocs remain wild cards.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$410,415
Enddatum
12. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.With national selections wrapped up by mid-March, trader consensus on Polymarket has coalesced around Finland's Linda Lampenius & Pete Parkkonen with "Liekinheitin" as the frontrunner to lead the First Semi-Final on May 12 in Vienna's Wiener Stadthalle, implying strong probabilities from the duo's dominant televote win and upbeat pop-rock appeal amid Nordic voting patterns. Greece's Akylas ("Ferto"), Israel, Sweden, and Croatia follow closely in bookie odds, buoyed by diaspora support and genre fit, while the 15 entrants—including Big 5 Germany and Italy—vie for 10 qualifying spots via combined jury and public votes. Recent odds releases on March 29 highlighted these dynamics post-national finals; upcoming Eurovision in Concert on April 11 will preview stagings, potentially swaying sentiment before May rehearsals, though live delivery and voting blocs remain wild cards.

This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026.

If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No".

If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volumen
$410,415
Enddatum
12. Mai 2026
Markt eröffnet
Jan 16, 2026, 12:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" for the listed countries whose candidates for Eurovision 2026 advance according to the results of the Eurovision First Semi-Final, scheduled for May 12, 2026. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to advance from the Eurovision 2026 First Semi-Final based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If this competition is not held or no contestants advance by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of the First Semi-Final for Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Vorsicht bei externen Links.

Häufig gestellte Fragen

„Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" ist ein Prognosemarkt auf Polymarket mit 15 möglichen Ergebnissen, bei dem Händler Anteile auf Basis ihrer Einschätzung kaufen und verkaufen. Das aktuell führende Ergebnis ist „Finnland" mit 96%, gefolgt von „Schweden" mit 94%. Die Preise spiegeln Echtzeit-Wahrscheinlichkeiten der Community wider. Ein Anteilspreis von 96¢ bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Diese Quoten ändern sich laufend, wenn Händler auf neue Entwicklungen reagieren. Anteile am richtigen Ergebnis können bei Marktauflösung für jeweils $1 eingelöst werden.

Stand heute hat „Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" ein Gesamthandelsvolumen von $410.4K generiert, seit der Markt am Jan 16, 2026 gestartet wurde. Dieses Aktivitätsniveau spiegelt starkes Engagement der Polymarket-Community wider und stellt sicher, dass die aktuellen Quoten von einem breiten Pool an Marktteilnehmern geprägt werden. Sie können Live-Preisbewegungen verfolgen und direkt auf dieser Seite auf jedes Ergebnis handeln.

Um auf „Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" zu handeln, durchsuchen Sie die 15 verfügbaren Ergebnisse auf dieser Seite. Jedes Ergebnis zeigt einen aktuellen Preis, der die implizierte Wahrscheinlichkeit des Marktes darstellt. Um eine Position einzunehmen, wählen Sie das Ergebnis, das Sie für am wahrscheinlichsten halten, wählen Sie „Ja" um dafür oder „Nein" um dagegen zu handeln, geben Sie Ihren Betrag ein und klicken Sie auf „Handeln". Liegt Ihr gewähltes Ergebnis bei Marktauflösung richtig, zahlen Ihre „Ja"-Anteile jeweils $1 aus. Liegt es falsch, zahlen sie $0. Sie können Ihre Anteile auch jederzeit vor der Auflösung verkaufen.

Der aktuelle Favorit für „Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" ist „Finnland" mit 96%, was bedeutet, dass der Markt diesem Ergebnis eine Wahrscheinlichkeit von 96% zuweist. Das nächstliegende Ergebnis ist „Schweden" mit 94%. Diese Quoten werden in Echtzeit aktualisiert, wenn Händler Anteile kaufen und verkaufen. Schauen Sie regelmäßig vorbei oder speichern Sie diese Seite als Lesezeichen.

Die Auflösungsregeln für „Eurovision 2026: Erstes Halbfinale" definieren genau, was passieren muss, damit jedes Ergebnis als Gewinner erklärt wird – einschließlich der offiziellen Datenquellen zur Bestimmung des Ergebnisses. Sie können die vollständigen Auflösungskriterien im Abschnitt „Regeln" auf dieser Seite über den Kommentaren einsehen. Wir empfehlen, die Regeln vor dem Handeln sorgfältig zu lesen, da sie die genauen Bedingungen, Sonderfälle und Quellen festlegen.