Since the recent ascendency of the DeepSeek AI model, rumors have been spreading that the company has made use of a large amount of Nvidia hardware that they do not report. You can find more information on that here: https://x.com/unusual_whales/status/1883946417133383797

This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that DeepSeek used Nvidia hardware banned from export to China in developing an AI model by February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Statements from the U.S. Government or Nvidia definitively claiming that banned Nvidia chips were used, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming their use will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.

The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, as well as official statements for the U.S. Government and Nvidia.