Claude Code, Anthropic’s agentic coding system, currently authors roughly 4% of daily public GitHub commits—around 135k per day—after explosive growth since its 2025 launch. Traders are focused on whether this volume sustains or accelerates into late June, with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 450k–750k+ thresholds by June 30. Recent June updates, including permission hardening after a GitHub Action vulnerability disclosure and new programmatic-usage credits effective June 15, support continued adoption, while competitive pressure from other AI coding tools and any near-term model releases could shift momentum. With resolution only two weeks away, fresh daily commit data and any Anthropic announcements on agent capabilities remain the key swing factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert↓ 450.0k
41%
↓ 400.0k
30%
↓ 350.0k
15%
$7,357 Vol.
↓ 450.0k
41%
↓ 400.0k
30%
↓ 350.0k
15%
Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Markt eröffnet: May 26, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only daily Claude Code Commits figures displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker (claude-commits.polymarket.com) will be considered. The resolution source displays underlying data by SemiAnalysis. Commit figures will be used exactly as published by the resolution source, without rounding.
This market will resolve as soon as the specified figure has been reached, or as soon as the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published and the specified figure has not been reached. If the relevant data is not released by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified timeframe (ET), this market will resolve according to the data available at that time.
Revisions made to published daily Claude Code Commits figures before the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will be considered; however, they will not disqualify a previously published daily Claude Code Commits figure from resolving this market. Revisions made after the daily figure for the last date within the specified timeframe has been published will not be considered.
This market will resolve solely according to the daily Claude Code Commits data via SemiAnalysis displayed on the Claude Code Commits Tracker at claude-commits.polymarket.com.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Claude Code, Anthropic’s agentic coding system, currently authors roughly 4% of daily public GitHub commits—around 135k per day—after explosive growth since its 2025 launch. Traders are focused on whether this volume sustains or accelerates into late June, with the market’s leading outcomes clustered around 450k–750k+ thresholds by June 30. Recent June updates, including permission hardening after a GitHub Action vulnerability disclosure and new programmatic-usage credits effective June 15, support continued adoption, while competitive pressure from other AI coding tools and any near-term model releases could shift momentum. With resolution only two weeks away, fresh daily commit data and any Anthropic announcements on agent capabilities remain the key swing factors.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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