Incumbent Republican David Valadao holds a strong position heading into the June 2 nonpartisan top-two primary for California’s 22nd Congressional District, a Central Valley seat redrawn into a toss-up after recent redistricting. Valadao’s path to advancing appears clear based on polling and district dynamics, leaving the second general-election slot contested between Democratic state Assemblymember Jasmeet Bains, viewed as the more moderate option, and progressive challenger Randy Villegas. A late DCCC endorsement of Bains has highlighted internal Democratic divisions over strategy in working-class districts, while a May poll showed Villegas narrowly ahead of Bains among likely voters. The outcome hinges on turnout and voter preference splits between the two Democrats in the final days before the primary.