Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58% probability that Amazon (AMZN) will close above $190 the week of March 16-21, primarily propelled by the FOMC meeting March 18-19, where dot plot revisions signaling three 2025 rate cuts could lift tech multiples amid AMZN's high beta to Nasdaq. Shares trade at $185.20 after Q4 revenue beat $170B and 19% AWS acceleration, but face pressure from consumer spending slowdowns reflected in recent retail sales misses. Key thresholds: $182 support (50-day SMA), $192 resistance; watch March 17 Empire Manufacturing and 18 housing starts for macro cues influencing e-commerce margins. Uncertainty persists around tariff risks and ad revenue growth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$185
100%
$190
99%
$195
98%
$200
90%
$205
73%
$210
54%
$215
8%
$220
7%
$225
5%
$230
7%
$235
1%
$240
1%
$245
1%
$8,836 Vol.
$185
100%
$190
99%
$195
98%
$200
90%
$205
73%
$210
54%
$215
8%
$220
7%
$225
5%
$230
7%
$235
1%
$240
1%
$245
1%
If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices."
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
Markt eröffnet: Mar 9, 2026, 4:46 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/historyResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 58% probability that Amazon (AMZN) will close above $190 the week of March 16-21, primarily propelled by the FOMC meeting March 18-19, where dot plot revisions signaling three 2025 rate cuts could lift tech multiples amid AMZN's high beta to Nasdaq. Shares trade at $185.20 after Q4 revenue beat $170B and 19% AWS acceleration, but face pressure from consumer spending slowdowns reflected in recent retail sales misses. Key thresholds: $182 support (50-day SMA), $192 resistance; watch March 17 Empire Manufacturing and 18 housing starts for macro cues influencing e-commerce margins. Uncertainty persists around tariff risks and ad revenue growth.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
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