Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) share price closing the week of March 23 in the $250-$255 range, reflecting recent momentum from a 4% weekly gain that pushed shares above $252 amid optimism over Apple Intelligence AI features rollout in iOS 18.5 betas and robust iPhone 16 upgrade cycles, with trading volume spiking 20% above average. The $245-$250 bin at 22.5% captures potential pullbacks from tariff policy risks under the incoming administration and antitrust scrutiny, while lower bins see minimal weighting due to resilient consumer demand signals. Upcoming catalysts include March 26 developer previews and Q2 earnings guidance previews, with shares testing key $255 resistance amid Nasdaq strength.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert$250-$255 62%
$255–$260 19%
$260–$265 7%
$240–$245 6.3%
<225 $
1%
$225-$230
1%
$230-$235
<1%
$235–$240
2%
$240–$245
6%
245–250 US-Dollar
41%
$250-$255
63%
$255–$260
19%
$260–$265
7%
$265-$270
2%
>270 $
1%
$250-$255 62%
$255–$260 19%
$260–$265 7%
$240–$245 6.3%
<225 $
1%
$225-$230
1%
$230-$235
<1%
$235–$240
2%
$240–$245
6%
245–250 US-Dollar
41%
$250-$255
63%
$255–$260
19%
$260–$265
7%
$265-$270
2%
>270 $
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Markt eröffnet: Mar 20, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final session of the week is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.
If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Yahoo Finance after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices."
Resolution Source
https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/historyResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 62% implied probability for Apple (AAPL) share price closing the week of March 23 in the $250-$255 range, reflecting recent momentum from a 4% weekly gain that pushed shares above $252 amid optimism over Apple Intelligence AI features rollout in iOS 18.5 betas and robust iPhone 16 upgrade cycles, with trading volume spiking 20% above average. The $245-$250 bin at 22.5% captures potential pullbacks from tariff policy risks under the incoming administration and antitrust scrutiny, while lower bins see minimal weighting due to resilient consumer demand signals. Upcoming catalysts include March 26 developer previews and Q2 earnings guidance previews, with shares testing key $255 resistance amid Nasdaq strength.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen